2026 schedule paths | TailgateNinjas

Alabama

8.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: LSU (41%) · Easiest: Chattanooga (99%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #23

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs East Carolina
Vegas -26
Likely Win
95%
Wk 2
@ Kentucky
Likely Win
77%
Wk 3
vs Florida State
Likely Win
80%
Wk 4
vs South Carolina
Likely Win
75%
Wk 5
@ Mississippi St
Likely Win
79%
Wk 6
vs Georgia
Toss-up
48%
Wk 7
@ Tennessee
Toss-up
52%
Wk 8
vs Texas A&M
Toss-up
54%
Wk 10
@ LSU
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 11
@ Vanderbilt
Likely Win
72%
Wk 12
vs Chattanooga
Likely Win
99%
Wk 13
vs Auburn
Likely Win
75%

Arkansas

4.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (8%) · Easiest: North Alabama (97%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #4

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs North Alabama
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
@ Utah
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 3
vs Georgia
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 4
vs Tulsa
Likely Win
80%
Wk 5
@ Texas A&M
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 6
vs Tennessee
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 7
@ Vanderbilt
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 9
vs Missouri
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 10
@ Auburn
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 11
vs South Carolina
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 12
@ Texas
Likely Loss
8%
Wk 13
vs LSU
Likely Loss
25%

Auburn

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Georgia (18%) · Easiest: Samford (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #2

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Baylor (neutral)
Vegas -6.7
Lean Win
67%
Wk 2
vs Southern Miss
Likely Win
92%
Wk 3
vs Florida
Toss-up
47%
Wk 4
vs Vanderbilt
Lean Win
69%
Wk 5
@ Tennessee
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 7
@ Georgia
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 8
vs LSU
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 9
@ Ole Miss
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 10
vs Arkansas
Likely Win
72%
Wk 11
@ Mississippi St
Lean Win
63%
Wk 12
vs Samford
Likely Win
98%
Wk 13
@ Alabama
Likely Loss
25%

Florida

7.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (19%) · Easiest: Campbell (99%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #19

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs FAU
Vegas -26
Likely Win
95%
Wk 2
vs Campbell
Likely Win
99%
Wk 3
@ Auburn
Toss-up
53%
Wk 4
vs Ole Miss
Lean Win
56%
Wk 5
@ Missouri
Toss-up
52%
Wk 6
vs South Carolina
Lean Win
68%
Wk 7
@ Texas
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
@ Georgia (neutral)
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 10
vs Oklahoma
Toss-up
52%
Wk 11
@ Kentucky
Lean Win
70%
Wk 12
vs Vanderbilt
Likely Win
78%
Wk 13
@ Florida State
Lean Win
60%

Georgia

9.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Alabama (52%) · Easiest: Tennessee State (100%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #26

Vegas win total9.5

Wk 1
vs Tennessee State
Likely Win
100%
Wk 2
vs Western Kentucky
Likely Win
96%
Wk 3
@ Arkansas
Likely Win
81%
Wk 4
vs Oklahoma
Likely Win
70%
Wk 5
vs Vanderbilt
Likely Win
88%
Wk 6
@ Alabama
Toss-up
52%
Wk 7
vs Auburn
Likely Win
82%
Wk 9
vs Florida (neutral)
Lean Win
68%
Wk 10
@ Ole Miss
Lean Win
59%
Wk 11
vs Missouri
Likely Win
81%
Wk 12
@ South Carolina
Likely Win
71%
Wk 13
vs Georgia Tech
Likely Win
89%

Kentucky

4.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas A&M (12%) · Easiest: Youngstown State (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #6

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Youngstown State
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
vs Alabama
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 3
@ Texas A&M
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 4
vs South Alabama
Likely Win
83%
Wk 5
@ South Carolina
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 6
vs LSU
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 7
@ Oklahoma
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 8
vs Vanderbilt
Toss-up
52%
Wk 10
@ Tennessee
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 11
vs Florida
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 12
@ Missouri
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 13
vs Louisville
Lean Loss
45%

LSU

8.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (39%) · Easiest: McNeese (99%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #8

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Clemson
Vegas -11
Likely Win
76%
Wk 2
vs Louisiana Tech
Likely Win
95%
Wk 3
@ Ole Miss
Toss-up
49%
Wk 4
vs Texas A&M
Toss-up
55%
Wk 5
vs McNeese
Likely Win
99%
Wk 6
@ Kentucky
Likely Win
77%
Wk 7
vs Mississippi St
Likely Win
88%
Wk 8
@ Auburn
Lean Win
62%
Wk 10
vs Alabama
Lean Win
59%
Wk 11
vs Texas
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 12
@ Tennessee
Toss-up
52%
Wk 13
@ Arkansas
Likely Win
75%

Mississippi St

4.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (6%) · Easiest: UL Monroe (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #5

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs UL Monroe
Vegas -28.5
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
@ Minnesota
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 3
@ South Carolina
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 4
vs Missouri
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 5
vs Alabama
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 7
@ LSU
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 8
vs Oklahoma
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 9
@ Texas
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 10
vs Vanderbilt
Toss-up
49%
Wk 11
vs Auburn
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 12
vs Tennessee Tech
Likely Win
96%
Wk 13
@ Ole Miss
Likely Loss
15%

Missouri

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Georgia (19%) · Easiest: Arkansas-Pine Bluff (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #18

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
@ Kansas
Lean Win
64%
Wk 3
vs Troy
Likely Win
89%
Wk 4
@ Mississippi St
Lean Win
64%
Wk 5
vs Florida
Toss-up
48%
Wk 6
vs Texas A&M
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 7
@ Ole Miss
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 9
@ Arkansas
Lean Win
58%
Wk 10
vs Texas
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 11
@ Georgia
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 12
vs Kentucky
Likely Win
75%
Wk 13
vs Oklahoma
Lean Loss
43%

Oklahoma

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (28%) · Easiest: UTEP (100%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #9

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs UTEP
Vegas -40.5
Likely Win
100%
Wk 2
@ Michigan
Vegas +2.5
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 3
vs New Mexico
Likely Win
93%
Wk 4
@ Georgia
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 6
vs Texas (neutral)
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 7
vs Kentucky
Likely Win
85%
Wk 8
@ Mississippi St
Likely Win
77%
Wk 9
vs South Carolina
Likely Win
73%
Wk 10
@ Florida
Toss-up
48%
Wk 11
vs Ole Miss
Lean Win
61%
Wk 12
vs Texas A&M
Toss-up
51%
Wk 13
@ Missouri
Lean Win
57%

Ole Miss

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (20%) · Easiest: Wofford (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #7

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Louisville (neutral)
Vegas -6.5
Lean Win
66%
Wk 2
vs Charlotte
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
vs LSU
Toss-up
51%
Wk 4
@ Florida
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
@ Vanderbilt
Lean Win
67%
Wk 7
vs Missouri
Lean Win
69%
Wk 8
@ Texas
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 9
vs Auburn
Likely Win
70%
Wk 10
vs Georgia
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 11
@ Oklahoma
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 12
vs Wofford
Likely Win
99%
Wk 13
vs Mississippi St
Likely Win
85%

South Carolina

6.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Alabama (25%) · Easiest: Kent State (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #10

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Kent State
Vegas -34.5
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
vs Towson
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
vs Mississippi St
Likely Win
76%
Wk 4
@ Alabama
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 5
vs Kentucky
Likely Win
74%
Wk 6
@ Florida
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 8
vs Tennessee
Toss-up
48%
Wk 9
@ Oklahoma
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 10
vs Texas A&M
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 11
@ Arkansas
Lean Win
57%
Wk 12
vs Georgia
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 13
@ Clemson
Lean Loss
45%

Tennessee

7.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas A&M (30%) · Easiest: Furman (99%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #36

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Furman
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
@ Georgia Tech
Lean Win
66%
Wk 3
vs Kennesaw St
Likely Win
94%
Wk 4
vs Texas
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 5
vs Auburn
Lean Win
67%
Wk 6
@ Arkansas
Lean Win
66%
Wk 7
vs Alabama
Toss-up
48%
Wk 8
@ South Carolina
Toss-up
52%
Wk 10
vs Kentucky
Likely Win
81%
Wk 11
@ Texas A&M
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 12
vs LSU
Toss-up
48%
Wk 13
@ Vanderbilt
Lean Win
64%

Texas

9.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (54%) · Easiest: Texas St (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #3

Vegas win total9.5

Wk 1
vs Texas St
Vegas -30.5
Likely Win
98%
Wk 2
vs Ohio State
Vegas -1.5
Toss-up
54%
Wk 3
vs UTSA
Likely Win
93%
Wk 4
@ Tennessee
Likely Win
70%
Wk 6
@ Oklahoma (neutral)
Likely Win
72%
Wk 7
vs Florida
Likely Win
81%
Wk 8
vs Ole Miss
Likely Win
80%
Wk 9
vs Mississippi St
Likely Win
94%
Wk 10
@ Missouri
Likely Win
77%
Wk 11
@ LSU
Lean Win
61%
Wk 12
vs Arkansas
Likely Win
92%
Wk 13
@ Texas A&M
Lean Win
58%

Texas A&M

8.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (42%) · Easiest: Missouri St (99%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #15

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Missouri St
Vegas -38.5
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
vs Arizona State
Likely Win
83%
Wk 3
vs Kentucky
Likely Win
88%
Wk 4
@ LSU
Toss-up
45%
Wk 5
vs Arkansas
Likely Win
87%
Wk 6
@ Missouri
Lean Win
64%
Wk 7
vs The Citadel
Likely Win
99%
Wk 8
@ Alabama
Toss-up
46%
Wk 10
@ South Carolina
Lean Win
65%
Wk 11
vs Tennessee
Likely Win
70%
Wk 12
@ Oklahoma
Toss-up
49%
Wk 13
vs Texas
Lean Loss
42%

Vanderbilt

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Georgia (12%) · Easiest: Austin Peay (97%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #11

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Austin Peay
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
vs Delaware
Likely Win
88%
Wk 3
vs NC State
Lean Win
59%
Wk 4
@ Auburn
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 5
@ Georgia
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 6
vs Ole Miss
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 7
vs Arkansas
Lean Win
61%
Wk 8
@ Kentucky
Toss-up
48%
Wk 10
@ Mississippi St
Toss-up
51%
Wk 11
vs Alabama
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 12
@ Florida
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 13
vs Tennessee
Lean Loss
36%

Boston College

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (1%) · Easiest: Maine (92%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #24

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Cincinnati
Vegas +8.5
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 2
vs Rutgers
Toss-up
47%
Wk 3
vs Maine
Likely Win
92%
Wk 4
vs Virginia Tech
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 5
@ SMU
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 7
vs Pittsburgh
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 8
@ Georgia Tech
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 9
@ Duke
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 10
vs Florida State
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 11
@ Notre Dame
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 12
vs Syracuse
Toss-up
48%
Wk 13
@ Miami
Likely Loss
3%

California

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: SMU (23%) · Easiest: Wagner (97%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #61

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs UCLA
Vegas -1.5
Toss-up
54%
Wk 2
@ Syracuse
Toss-up
55%
Wk 3
vs Wagner
Likely Win
97%
Wk 4
vs Clemson
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 5
@ UNLV
Lean Win
56%
Wk 6
vs Virginia Tech
Lean Win
63%
Wk 7
vs Wake Forest
Lean Win
64%
Wk 8
@ SMU
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 9
@ NC State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 11
@ Virginia
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 12
vs Stanford
Likely Win
77%
Wk 13
vs Pittsburgh
Toss-up
48%

Clemson

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (21%) · Easiest: Charleston Southern (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #52

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ LSU
Vegas +11
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 2
vs GA Southern
Likely Win
91%
Wk 3
vs North Carolina
Likely Win
79%
Wk 4
@ California
Lean Win
58%
Wk 5
vs Miami
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 7
vs Charleston Southern
Likely Win
98%
Wk 8
vs Virginia Tech
Likely Win
77%
Wk 9
@ Florida State
Toss-up
47%
Wk 10
@ Syracuse
Lean Win
70%
Wk 11
vs Georgia Tech
Lean Win
70%
Wk 12
@ Duke
Lean Win
63%
Wk 13
vs South Carolina
Lean Win
55%

Duke

5.9 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (6%) · Easiest: William & Mary (96%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #58

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Tulane
Vegas -9
Likely Win
72%
Wk 2
@ Illinois
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 3
vs Stanford
Likely Win
74%
Wk 4
vs William & Mary
Likely Win
96%
Wk 6
@ Georgia Tech
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 7
vs North Carolina
Lean Win
62%
Wk 8
@ Virginia
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 9
vs Boston College
Likely Win
75%
Wk 10
@ NC State
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 11
@ Miami
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 12
vs Clemson
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 13
@ Wake Forest
Lean Loss
44%

Florida State

6.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (10%) · Easiest: Central Arkansas (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #31

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs New Mexico St
Vegas -29.5
Likely Win
97%
Wk 1
vs SMU
Vegas +2.5
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 3
@ Alabama
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 4
vs Central Arkansas
Likely Win
98%
Wk 5
vs Virginia
Lean Win
61%
Wk 6
@ Louisville
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 7
@ Miami
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 9
vs Clemson
Toss-up
53%
Wk 10
@ Boston College
Likely Win
75%
Wk 11
@ Pittsburgh
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 12
vs NC State
Lean Win
64%
Wk 13
vs Florida
Lean Loss
40%

Georgia Tech

6.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Georgia (11%) · Easiest: Mercer (97%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #53

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Colorado
Vegas -7.2
Lean Win
68%
Wk 2
vs Tennessee
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 3
vs Mercer
Likely Win
97%
Wk 4
@ Stanford
Lean Win
68%
Wk 6
vs Duke
Lean Win
66%
Wk 7
@ Virginia Tech
Toss-up
51%
Wk 8
vs Boston College
Likely Win
80%
Wk 9
@ Pittsburgh
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 10
vs Louisville
Toss-up
48%
Wk 11
@ Clemson
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 12
vs Wake Forest
Lean Win
68%
Wk 13
@ Georgia
Likely Loss
11%

Louisville

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ole Miss (34%) · Easiest: Villanova (98%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #83

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Ole Miss (neutral)
Vegas +6.5
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 2
vs Villanova
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
vs SMU
Toss-up
51%
Wk 4
vs Wake Forest
Likely Win
76%
Wk 5
@ NC State
Toss-up
50%
Wk 6
vs Florida State
Lean Win
60%
Wk 7
@ Syracuse
Lean Win
68%
Wk 9
vs Stanford
Likely Win
86%
Wk 10
@ Georgia Tech
Toss-up
52%
Wk 11
@ North Carolina
Lean Win
65%
Wk 12
vs Pittsburgh
Lean Win
62%
Wk 13
@ Kentucky
Lean Win
55%

Miami

10.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (20%) · Easiest: Florida A&M (100%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #60

Vegas win total10.5

Wk 1
@ Stanford
Vegas -21.5
Likely Win
92%
Wk 2
vs Florida A&M
Likely Win
100%
Wk 3
@ Wake Forest
Likely Win
91%
Wk 4
vs C Michigan
Likely Win
98%
Wk 5
@ Clemson
Likely Win
79%
Wk 7
vs Florida State
Likely Win
90%
Wk 8
vs Pittsburgh
Likely Win
91%
Wk 9
@ North Carolina
Likely Win
91%
Wk 10
@ Notre Dame
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 11
vs Duke
Likely Win
94%
Wk 12
vs Virginia Tech
Likely Win
95%
Wk 13
vs Boston College
Likely Win
97%

NC State

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Florida State (36%) · Easiest: Richmond (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #101

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Virginia
Vegas +3.7
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 2
vs Richmond
Likely Win
97%
Wk 3
@ Vanderbilt
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 4
vs Appalachian State
Likely Win
85%
Wk 5
vs Louisville
Toss-up
50%
Wk 6
vs Wake Forest
Lean Win
69%
Wk 8
@ Stanford
Lean Win
69%
Wk 9
vs California
Lean Win
63%
Wk 10
vs Duke
Lean Win
68%
Wk 11
vs Syracuse
Likely Win
74%
Wk 12
@ Florida State
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 13
@ North Carolina
Lean Win
57%

North Carolina

4.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (3%) · Easiest: East Tennessee State (95%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #62

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ TCU (neutral)
Vegas +6.5
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 2
vs East Tennessee State
Likely Win
95%
Wk 3
@ Clemson
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 5
vs Notre Dame
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 6
@ Pittsburgh
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 7
@ Duke
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 8
vs Syracuse
Lean Win
62%
Wk 9
vs Miami
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 10
@ UConn
Lean Win
60%
Wk 11
vs Louisville
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 12
@ Virginia
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 13
vs NC State
Lean Loss
43%

Pittsburgh

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (9%) · Easiest: Bucknell (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #63

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Miami (OH)
Vegas -16
Likely Win
85%
Wk 2
vs UCF
Likely Win
73%
Wk 3
vs Syracuse
Likely Win
77%
Wk 4
vs Bucknell
Likely Win
98%
Wk 5
@ Virginia Tech
Lean Win
57%
Wk 6
vs North Carolina
Likely Win
75%
Wk 7
@ Boston College
Likely Win
73%
Wk 8
@ Miami
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 9
vs Georgia Tech
Lean Win
64%
Wk 11
vs Florida State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 12
@ Louisville
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 13
@ California
Toss-up
52%

SMU

8.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (6%) · Easiest: UC Davis (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #65

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
@ Florida State
Vegas -2.5
Lean Win
56%
Wk 2
vs UC Davis
Likely Win
99%
Wk 3
@ Louisville
Toss-up
49%
Wk 4
vs Missouri St
Likely Win
94%
Wk 5
vs Boston College
Likely Win
89%
Wk 7
vs Virginia
Likely Win
70%
Wk 8
vs California
Likely Win
77%
Wk 9
@ Syracuse
Likely Win
74%
Wk 10
vs Virginia Tech
Likely Win
80%
Wk 11
vs Wake Forest
Likely Win
81%
Wk 12
@ Notre Dame
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 13
@ Stanford
Likely Win
81%

Stanford

3.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (1%) · Easiest: Elon (92%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #43

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs Hawai'i
Vegas -3.2
Lean Win
58%
Wk 1
vs Miami
Vegas +21.5
Likely Loss
8%
Wk 3
@ Duke
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 4
vs Georgia Tech
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 5
@ Wake Forest
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 6
@ Notre Dame
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 7
vs Elon
Likely Win
92%
Wk 8
vs NC State
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 9
@ Louisville
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 11
@ Virginia Tech
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 12
@ California
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 13
vs SMU
Likely Loss
19%

Syracuse

4.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (3%) · Easiest: New Hampshire (95%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #72

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs New Hampshire
Likely Win
95%
Wk 2
vs California
Toss-up
45%
Wk 3
@ Pittsburgh
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 5
@ UConn
Lean Win
56%
Wk 6
@ Virginia
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 7
vs Louisville
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 8
@ North Carolina
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 9
vs SMU
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 10
vs Clemson
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 11
@ NC State
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 12
@ Boston College
Toss-up
52%
Wk 13
vs Notre Dame
Likely Loss
3%

Virginia

7.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: SMU (30%) · Easiest: Norfolk State (98%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #70

Wk 1
vs NC State
Vegas -3.7
Lean Win
60%
Wk 2
vs Norfolk State
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
@ West Virginia (neutral)
Lean Win
63%
Wk 4
vs Delaware
Likely Win
88%
Wk 5
@ Florida State
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 6
vs Syracuse
Likely Win
76%
Wk 7
@ SMU
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 8
vs Duke
Lean Win
70%
Wk 9
@ Wake Forest
Lean Win
57%
Wk 11
vs California
Lean Win
66%
Wk 12
vs North Carolina
Likely Win
73%
Wk 13
@ Virginia Tech
Lean Win
55%

Virginia Tech

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (5%) · Easiest: VMI (96%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #41

Wk 1
vs VMI
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
vs Old Dominion
Toss-up
51%
Wk 3
@ Maryland
Toss-up
50%
Wk 4
@ Boston College
Lean Win
60%
Wk 5
vs Pittsburgh
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 6
@ California
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 7
vs Georgia Tech
Toss-up
49%
Wk 8
@ Clemson
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 10
@ SMU
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 11
vs Stanford
Likely Win
74%
Wk 12
@ Miami
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 13
vs Virginia
Lean Loss
45%

Wake Forest

5.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (9%) · Easiest: Merrimack (96%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #56

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Akron
Vegas -22.5
Likely Win
93%
Wk 2
@ Purdue
Toss-up
53%
Wk 3
vs Miami
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 4
@ Louisville
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 5
vs Stanford
Likely Win
72%
Wk 6
@ NC State
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 7
@ California
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 9
vs Virginia
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 10
vs Merrimack
Likely Win
96%
Wk 11
@ SMU
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 12
@ Georgia Tech
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 13
vs Duke
Lean Win
56%

Illinois

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (9%) · Easiest: Southern Illinois (98%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #45

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs UAB
Vegas -27.5
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
vs Duke
Likely Win
77%
Wk 3
vs Southern Illinois
Likely Win
98%
Wk 4
@ Ohio State
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 5
vs Purdue
Likely Win
85%
Wk 6
@ Michigan State
Lean Win
63%
Wk 8
vs Oregon
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 9
@ Maryland
Likely Win
71%
Wk 10
vs Nebraska
Lean Win
61%
Wk 11
@ UCLA
Toss-up
51%
Wk 12
vs Iowa
Toss-up
53%
Wk 13
vs Northwestern
Likely Win
71%

Indiana

10.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (58%) · Easiest: Howard (100%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #28

Vegas win total10.5

Wk 1
vs North Texas
Vegas -40.5
Likely Win
100%
Wk 2
vs Howard
Likely Win
100%
Wk 3
vs Western Kentucky
Likely Win
98%
Wk 4
vs Northwestern
Likely Win
95%
Wk 5
@ Rutgers
Likely Win
94%
Wk 6
@ Nebraska
Likely Win
86%
Wk 7
vs Ohio State
Lean Win
58%
Wk 8
@ Michigan
Lean Win
64%
Wk 9
vs Minnesota
Likely Win
95%
Wk 11
vs USC
Likely Win
78%
Wk 12
@ Washington
Likely Win
79%
Wk 13
vs Purdue
Likely Win
98%

Iowa

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (19%) · Easiest: Northern Iowa (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #34

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs N Illinois
Vegas -30
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
vs Iowa State
Likely Win
79%
Wk 3
vs Northern Iowa
Likely Win
99%
Wk 4
@ Michigan
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 5
vs Ohio State
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 6
@ Washington
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 8
@ Minnesota
Lean Win
63%
Wk 9
vs Wisconsin
Likely Win
72%
Wk 10
@ Northwestern
Lean Win
61%
Wk 11
vs Purdue
Likely Win
87%
Wk 12
@ Illinois
Toss-up
47%
Wk 13
vs Nebraska
Lean Win
66%

Maryland

4.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (3%) · Easiest: Howard (94%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #35

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Howard
Likely Win
94%
Wk 2
@ UConn
Lean Win
55%
Wk 3
vs Virginia Tech
Toss-up
50%
Wk 4
vs UCLA
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
@ Nebraska
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 6
@ Ohio State
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 7
vs Rutgers
Lean Win
57%
Wk 9
vs Illinois
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 10
@ Purdue
Toss-up
46%
Wk 11
vs Wisconsin
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 12
@ USC
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 13
vs Penn State
Likely Loss
22%

Michigan

8.2 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oregon (20%) · Easiest: UTEP (99%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #17

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs W Michigan
Vegas -26.5
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
vs Oklahoma
Vegas -2.5
Lean Win
56%
Wk 3
vs UTEP
Likely Win
99%
Wk 4
vs Iowa
Likely Win
77%
Wk 5
@ Minnesota
Likely Win
80%
Wk 7
vs Penn State
Likely Win
73%
Wk 8
vs Indiana
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 9
@ Rutgers
Likely Win
87%
Wk 10
vs Michigan State
Likely Win
90%
Wk 11
@ Oregon
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 12
vs UCLA
Likely Win
85%
Wk 13
@ Ohio State
Likely Loss
23%

Michigan State

4.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (2%) · Easiest: E Michigan (86%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #29

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Toledo
Vegas -10.5
Likely Win
75%
Wk 2
vs E Michigan
Likely Win
86%
Wk 3
@ Notre Dame
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 4
vs Nebraska
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 5
@ Wisconsin
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 6
vs Illinois
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 7
vs Northwestern
Toss-up
50%
Wk 8
@ UCLA
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 10
@ Michigan
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 11
vs Washington
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 12
vs Oregon
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 13
@ Rutgers
Toss-up
50%

Minnesota

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Indiana (5%) · Easiest: Eastern Illinois (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #16

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Eastern Illinois
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
vs Mississippi St
Lean Win
61%
Wk 3
vs Akron
Likely Win
90%
Wk 4
@ Washington
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 5
vs Michigan
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 6
@ Purdue
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
vs Iowa
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 9
@ Indiana
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 10
vs UCLA
Toss-up
50%
Wk 11
@ Penn State
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 12
vs Northwestern
Lean Win
55%
Wk 13
@ Wisconsin
Lean Loss
36%

Nebraska

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oregon (7%) · Easiest: North Dakota (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #25

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Ohio
Vegas -23.5
Likely Win
94%
Wk 2
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
94%
Wk 3
vs North Dakota
Likely Win
98%
Wk 4
@ Michigan State
Lean Win
60%
Wk 5
vs Maryland
Likely Win
80%
Wk 6
vs Indiana
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 7
@ Oregon
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 9
vs Washington
Toss-up
46%
Wk 10
@ Illinois
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 11
@ Rutgers
Lean Win
67%
Wk 12
vs Ohio State
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 13
@ Iowa
Lean Loss
34%

Northwestern

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oregon (5%) · Easiest: South Dakota State (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #14

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs South Dakota State
Likely Win
97%
Wk 3
vs Colorado
Lean Win
67%
Wk 4
@ Indiana
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 5
vs Penn State
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 6
vs Ball State
Likely Win
95%
Wk 7
@ Michigan State
Toss-up
50%
Wk 8
vs Rutgers
Likely Win
72%
Wk 9
@ Oregon
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 10
vs Iowa
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 11
@ Ohio State
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 12
@ Minnesota
Lean Loss
45%
Wk 13
@ Illinois
Likely Loss
29%

Ohio State

9.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Indiana (42%) · Easiest: Ball State (100%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #1

Vegas win total9.5

Wk 1
vs Ball State
Vegas -50
Likely Win
100%
Wk 2
@ Texas
Vegas +1.5
Toss-up
46%
Wk 3
vs Kent State
Likely Win
100%
Wk 4
vs Illinois
Likely Win
91%
Wk 5
@ Iowa
Likely Win
81%
Wk 6
vs Maryland
Likely Win
97%
Wk 7
@ Indiana
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 9
@ USC
Lean Win
65%
Wk 10
vs Oregon
Toss-up
54%
Wk 11
vs Northwestern
Likely Win
94%
Wk 12
@ Nebraska
Likely Win
86%
Wk 13
vs Michigan
Likely Win
77%

Oregon

10.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (46%) · Easiest: Portland State (100%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #27

Vegas win total10.5

Wk 1
vs Boise State
Vegas -24.5
Likely Win
94%
Wk 2
@ Oklahoma State
Likely Win
93%
Wk 3
vs Portland State
Likely Win
100%
Wk 4
@ USC
Lean Win
69%
Wk 6
vs UCLA
Likely Win
94%
Wk 7
vs Nebraska
Likely Win
93%
Wk 8
@ Illinois
Likely Win
86%
Wk 9
vs Northwestern
Likely Win
95%
Wk 10
@ Ohio State
Toss-up
46%
Wk 11
vs Michigan
Likely Win
80%
Wk 12
@ Michigan State
Likely Win
94%
Wk 13
vs Washington
Likely Win
89%

Penn State

8.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Michigan (27%) · Easiest: Buffalo (95%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #38

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Marshall
Vegas -23.5
Likely Win
94%
Wk 2
@ Temple
Likely Win
84%
Wk 3
vs Buffalo
Likely Win
95%
Wk 4
vs Wisconsin
Likely Win
76%
Wk 5
@ Northwestern
Lean Win
65%
Wk 6
vs USC
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 7
@ Michigan
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 9
vs Purdue
Likely Win
89%
Wk 10
@ Washington
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 11
vs Minnesota
Likely Win
80%
Wk 12
vs Rutgers
Likely Win
87%
Wk 13
@ Maryland
Likely Win
78%

Purdue

3.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (2%) · Easiest: Indiana State (93%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #13

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs Indiana State
Likely Win
93%
Wk 2
vs Wake Forest
Toss-up
47%
Wk 3
@ UCLA
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 4
vs Notre Dame
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 5
@ Illinois
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 6
vs Minnesota
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 7
vs Washington
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
@ Penn State
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 10
vs Maryland
Toss-up
54%
Wk 11
@ Iowa
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 12
vs Wisconsin
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 13
@ Indiana
Likely Loss
2%

Rutgers

4.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Indiana (6%) · Easiest: UMass (98%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #40

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs UMass
Vegas -30.5
Likely Win
98%
Wk 2
@ Boston College
Toss-up
53%
Wk 3
vs USC
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 4
vs Howard
Likely Win
95%
Wk 5
vs Indiana
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 7
@ Maryland
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 8
@ Northwestern
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 9
vs Michigan
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 10
@ Wisconsin
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 11
vs Nebraska
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 12
@ Penn State
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 13
vs Michigan State
Toss-up
50%

UCLA

6.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oregon (6%) · Easiest: Nevada (94%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #37

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ California
Vegas +1.5
Toss-up
46%
Wk 2
vs San Diego State
Likely Win
72%
Wk 3
vs Purdue
Likely Win
80%
Wk 4
@ Maryland
Lean Win
63%
Wk 6
@ Oregon
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 7
vs Wisconsin
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
vs Michigan State
Lean Win
69%
Wk 9
vs Nevada
Likely Win
94%
Wk 10
@ Minnesota
Toss-up
50%
Wk 11
vs Illinois
Toss-up
49%
Wk 12
@ Michigan
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 13
vs USC
Likely Loss
25%

USC

8.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Indiana (22%) · Easiest: San José St (99%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #21

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs San José St
Vegas -35.5
Likely Win
99%
Wk 1
vs Fresno State
Vegas -23.5
Likely Win
94%
Wk 2
vs Louisiana
Likely Win
95%
Wk 3
@ Rutgers
Likely Win
87%
Wk 4
vs Oregon
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 5
vs Washington
Likely Win
73%
Wk 6
@ Penn State
Lean Win
58%
Wk 8
@ Wisconsin
Likely Win
76%
Wk 9
vs Ohio State
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 11
@ Indiana
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 12
vs Maryland
Likely Win
93%
Wk 13
@ UCLA
Likely Win
75%

Washington

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oregon (11%) · Easiest: Eastern Washington (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #22

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Washington St
Vegas -21.5
Likely Win
92%
Wk 2
vs Utah State
Likely Win
91%
Wk 3
vs Eastern Washington
Likely Win
99%
Wk 4
vs Minnesota
Likely Win
79%
Wk 5
@ USC
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 6
vs Iowa
Lean Win
62%
Wk 7
@ Purdue
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
@ Nebraska
Toss-up
54%
Wk 10
vs Penn State
Lean Win
58%
Wk 11
@ Michigan State
Likely Win
71%
Wk 12
vs Indiana
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 13
@ Oregon
Likely Loss
11%

Wisconsin

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (9%) · Easiest: Western Illinois (97%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #32

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Notre Dame (neutral)
Vegas +20.5
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 2
vs Western Illinois
Likely Win
97%
Wk 3
vs E Michigan
Likely Win
90%
Wk 4
@ Penn State
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 5
vs Michigan State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 7
@ UCLA
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 8
vs USC
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 9
@ Iowa
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 10
vs Rutgers
Likely Win
74%
Wk 11
@ Maryland
Lean Win
62%
Wk 12
@ Purdue
Lean Win
66%
Wk 13
vs Minnesota
Lean Win
64%

Arizona

7.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (18%) · Easiest: Northern Arizona (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #42

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Northern Arizona
Likely Win
98%
Wk 2
@ BYU
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 3
vs N Illinois
Likely Win
97%
Wk 4
@ Washington St
Likely Win
75%
Wk 5
vs Cincinnati
Likely Win
73%
Wk 6
@ West Virginia
Lean Win
63%
Wk 8
vs Iowa State
Likely Win
75%
Wk 9
@ Texas Tech
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 10
vs TCU
Lean Win
66%
Wk 11
vs Utah
Toss-up
50%
Wk 12
@ Kansas State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 13
vs Arizona State
Lean Win
63%

Arizona State

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (15%) · Easiest: Morgan State (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #12

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Morgan State
Likely Win
98%
Wk 2
@ Texas A&M
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 3
vs Kansas (neutral)
Lean Win
63%
Wk 5
vs Baylor
Lean Win
60%
Wk 6
vs Hawai'i
Likely Win
85%
Wk 7
@ Texas Tech
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 8
vs Kansas State
Toss-up
47%
Wk 9
@ BYU
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 10
vs Colorado
Likely Win
73%
Wk 11
@ UCF
Lean Win
59%
Wk 12
vs Oklahoma State
Lean Win
69%
Wk 13
@ Arizona
Lean Loss
37%

Baylor

6.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (24%) · Easiest: Prairie View A&M (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #33

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ Auburn (neutral)
Vegas +6.7
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 2
vs Prairie View A&M
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
vs Louisiana Tech
Likely Win
84%
Wk 4
vs Colorado
Likely Win
72%
Wk 5
@ Arizona State
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 7
vs TCU
Lean Win
59%
Wk 8
@ Kansas
Toss-up
53%
Wk 9
@ UCF
Lean Win
57%
Wk 10
vs Iowa State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 11
@ BYU
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 12
vs Texas Tech
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 13
@ Houston
Likely Loss
29%

BYU

8.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (13%) · Easiest: Utah Tech (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #69

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Utah Tech
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
vs Arizona
Lean Win
70%
Wk 3
@ Colorado St
Likely Win
92%
Wk 5
@ TCU
Lean Win
63%
Wk 6
vs Iowa State
Likely Win
83%
Wk 7
vs Notre Dame
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 8
@ UCF
Likely Win
75%
Wk 9
vs Arizona State
Likely Win
74%
Wk 10
@ Utah
Toss-up
47%
Wk 11
vs Baylor
Likely Win
76%
Wk 12
@ Kansas
Likely Win
72%
Wk 13
vs Cincinnati
Likely Win
82%

Cincinnati

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (18%) · Easiest: Western Carolina (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #20

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Boston College
Vegas -8.5
Likely Win
71%
Wk 2
vs Western Carolina
Likely Win
97%
Wk 3
vs Miami (OH)
Likely Win
73%
Wk 4
vs Kansas State
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 5
@ Arizona
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 7
@ West Virginia
Toss-up
46%
Wk 8
vs Texas Tech
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 9
vs Utah
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 10
@ Houston
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
@ Iowa State
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 12
vs Colorado
Lean Win
63%
Wk 13
@ BYU
Likely Loss
18%

Colorado

4.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (15%) · Easiest: Weber State (96%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #67

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ Georgia Tech
Vegas +7.2
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 2
vs Weber State
Likely Win
96%
Wk 3
@ Northwestern
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 4
@ Baylor
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 5
vs Texas Tech
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 7
vs Utah
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 8
@ Oklahoma State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 9
vs Kansas State
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 10
@ Arizona State
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 11
vs Houston
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 12
@ Cincinnati
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 13
vs UCF
Lean Win
58%

Houston

8.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (22%) · Easiest: Southern (99%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #66

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Oregon St
Vegas -18.5
Likely Win
89%
Wk 2
vs Southern
Likely Win
99%
Wk 3
@ Texas Tech
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 4
@ GA Southern
Likely Win
87%
Wk 5
vs UCF
Likely Win
82%
Wk 6
@ Kansas State
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 7
vs Oklahoma State
Likely Win
78%
Wk 8
@ Utah
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 10
vs Cincinnati
Likely Win
78%
Wk 11
@ Colorado
Lean Win
70%
Wk 12
@ West Virginia
Lean Win
69%
Wk 13
vs Baylor
Likely Win
71%

Iowa State

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: BYU (17%) · Easiest: Southeast Missouri State (96%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #30

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Southeast Missouri State
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
@ Iowa
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 3
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
90%
Wk 4
vs Utah
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 5
vs West Virginia
Lean Win
60%
Wk 6
@ BYU
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 8
@ Arizona
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 9
vs Oklahoma State
Lean Win
57%
Wk 10
@ Baylor
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 11
vs Cincinnati
Lean Win
56%
Wk 12
@ UCF
Toss-up
46%
Wk 13
vs Kansas State
Lean Loss
35%

Kansas

5.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Utah (20%) · Easiest: Long Island University (96%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #88

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Long Island University
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
vs Missouri
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 3
@ Arizona State (neutral)
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
vs Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
93%
Wk 6
@ Utah
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 7
@ Kansas State
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 8
vs Baylor
Toss-up
47%
Wk 9
@ TCU
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 10
vs UCF
Lean Win
62%
Wk 11
@ West Virginia
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 12
vs BYU
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 13
@ Oklahoma State
Lean Loss
41%

Kansas State

8.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Arizona State (53%) · Easiest: Nicholls (99%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #80

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Nicholls
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
vs Washington St
Likely Win
88%
Wk 3
vs Tulane
Likely Win
73%
Wk 4
@ Cincinnati
Lean Win
64%
Wk 6
vs Houston
Lean Win
57%
Wk 7
vs Kansas
Likely Win
78%
Wk 8
@ Arizona State
Toss-up
53%
Wk 9
@ Colorado
Lean Win
69%
Wk 10
vs Oklahoma State
Likely Win
78%
Wk 11
@ TCU
Lean Win
56%
Wk 12
vs Arizona
Lean Win
63%
Wk 13
@ Iowa State
Lean Win
65%

Oklahoma State

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oregon (7%) · Easiest: Murray State (96%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #44

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Tulsa
Vegas -12
Likely Win
78%
Wk 2
vs Oregon
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 3
vs Murray State
Likely Win
96%
Wk 4
@ West Virginia
Toss-up
45%
Wk 6
vs UCF
Lean Win
63%
Wk 7
@ Houston
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 8
vs Colorado
Lean Win
63%
Wk 9
@ Iowa State
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 10
@ Kansas State
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
vs Texas Tech
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 12
@ Arizona State
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 13
vs Kansas
Lean Win
59%

TCU

6.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (14%) · Easiest: Grambling (98%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #39

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs North Carolina (neutral)
Vegas -6.5
Lean Win
66%
Wk 2
vs Grambling
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
vs Arkansas St
Likely Win
88%
Wk 4
@ UCF
Lean Win
56%
Wk 5
vs BYU
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 7
@ Baylor
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 8
vs West Virginia
Lean Win
70%
Wk 9
vs Kansas
Lean Win
67%
Wk 10
@ Arizona
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 11
vs Kansas State
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 12
vs Utah
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 13
@ Texas Tech
Likely Loss
14%

Texas Tech

10.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Baylor (76%) · Easiest: Abilene Christian (99%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #85

Vegas win total10.5

Wk 1
vs Abilene Christian
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
@ Oregon St
Likely Win
96%
Wk 3
vs Houston
Likely Win
78%
Wk 4
vs Sam Houston
Likely Win
99%
Wk 5
@ Colorado
Likely Win
85%
Wk 7
vs Arizona State
Likely Win
85%
Wk 8
@ Cincinnati
Likely Win
82%
Wk 9
vs Arizona
Likely Win
82%
Wk 10
vs West Virginia
Likely Win
91%
Wk 11
@ Oklahoma State
Likely Win
83%
Wk 12
@ Baylor
Likely Win
76%
Wk 13
vs TCU
Likely Win
86%

UCF

5.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Houston (18%) · Easiest: Bethune-Cookman (96%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #54

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Bethune-Cookman
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
@ Pittsburgh
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 3
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
90%
Wk 4
vs TCU
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 5
@ Houston
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 6
@ Oklahoma State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 8
vs BYU
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 9
vs Baylor
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 10
@ Kansas
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 11
vs Arizona State
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 12
vs Iowa State
Toss-up
54%
Wk 13
@ Colorado
Lean Loss
42%

Utah

8.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Arizona (50%) · Easiest: Idaho (99%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #47

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs Idaho
Likely Win
99%
Wk 2
vs Arkansas
Likely Win
76%
Wk 3
vs Utah State
Likely Win
91%
Wk 4
@ Iowa State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 6
vs Kansas
Likely Win
80%
Wk 7
@ Colorado
Likely Win
71%
Wk 8
vs Houston
Lean Win
60%
Wk 9
@ Cincinnati
Lean Win
66%
Wk 10
vs BYU
Toss-up
53%
Wk 11
@ Arizona
Toss-up
50%
Wk 12
@ TCU
Lean Win
58%
Wk 13
vs West Virginia
Likely Win
82%

West Virginia

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (9%) · Easiest: UT Martin (96%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #46

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Coastal Carolina
Vegas -17.5
Likely Win
87%
Wk 2
vs UT Martin
Likely Win
96%
Wk 3
vs Virginia (neutral)
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 4
vs Oklahoma State
Toss-up
55%
Wk 5
@ Iowa State
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 6
vs Arizona
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 7
vs Cincinnati
Toss-up
54%
Wk 8
@ TCU
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 10
@ Texas Tech
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 11
vs Kansas
Lean Win
56%
Wk 12
vs Houston
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 13
@ Utah
Likely Loss
18%

Army

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Memphis (39%) · Easiest: Bryant (96%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #107

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Bryant
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
vs South Florida
Toss-up
51%
Wk 4
@ Temple
Lean Win
63%
Wk 5
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Win
64%
Wk 6
vs Tulane
Toss-up
52%
Wk 7
vs FAU
Likely Win
72%
Wk 8
@ Tulsa
Lean Win
61%
Wk 9
@ Memphis
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 10
vs Air Force
Likely Win
83%
Wk 12
vs East Carolina
Lean Win
57%
Wk 13
@ Rice
Likely Win
72%
Wk 15
vs Navy (neutral)
Toss-up
47%

Charlotte

2.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ole Miss (2%) · Easiest: The Citadel (78%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #73

Vegas win total2.5

Wk 1
vs The Citadel
Likely Win
78%
Wk 2
@ Ole Miss
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 3
@ Appalachian State
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 4
vs Louisiana
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 5
vs Memphis
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 6
@ North Texas
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 7
@ Temple
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 9
vs Tulane
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 10
@ UAB
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 11
vs East Carolina
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 12
@ Tulsa
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 13
vs Navy
Likely Loss
14%

East Carolina

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Alabama (5%) · Easiest: North Carolina Central (96%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #82

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Alabama
Vegas +26
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 2
vs Appalachian State
Likely Win
81%
Wk 3
@ Old Dominion
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 4
vs North Carolina Central
Likely Win
96%
Wk 6
vs Rice
Likely Win
83%
Wk 7
@ UAB
Likely Win
79%
Wk 8
@ Memphis
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 9
vs Temple
Likely Win
77%
Wk 10
vs South Florida
Toss-up
52%
Wk 11
@ Charlotte
Likely Win
85%
Wk 12
@ Army
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 13
vs FAU
Likely Win
73%

FAU

5.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Florida (5%) · Easiest: Texas Southern (93%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #77

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Florida
Vegas +26
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 2
vs Navy
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 3
vs FIU
Lean Win
69%
Wk 4
@ UL Monroe
Likely Win
73%
Wk 5
vs Texas Southern
Likely Win
93%
Wk 7
@ Army
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 8
vs Rice
Likely Win
72%
Wk 9
@ North Texas
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 10
vs UTSA
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 11
@ Tulsa
Toss-up
46%
Wk 12
vs South Florida
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 13
@ East Carolina
Likely Loss
27%

Memphis

7.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Boise State (36%) · Easiest: UT Martin (97%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #104

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Arkansas St
Vegas -10.5
Likely Win
75%
Wk 1
@ UNLV
Vegas +3
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 2
@ Boise State
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 3
vs UT Martin
Likely Win
97%
Wk 5
@ Charlotte
Likely Win
86%
Wk 6
vs UAB
Likely Win
88%
Wk 7
@ Tulane
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 8
vs East Carolina
Lean Win
60%
Wk 9
vs Army
Lean Win
61%
Wk 11
@ South Florida
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 12
@ Navy
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 13
vs Temple
Likely Win
78%

Navy

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (3%) · Easiest: Towson (97%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #93

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Towson
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
@ FAU
Lean Win
60%
Wk 4
@ UAB
Likely Win
80%
Wk 5
@ Air Force
Likely Win
74%
Wk 6
vs Tulsa
Likely Win
77%
Wk 7
@ UTSA
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 8
vs North Texas
Toss-up
51%
Wk 9
@ Notre Dame (neutral)
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 10
vs Temple
Likely Win
78%
Wk 12
vs Memphis
Lean Win
58%
Wk 13
@ Charlotte
Likely Win
86%
Wk 15
@ Army (neutral)
Toss-up
53%

North Texas

8.0 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Indiana (0%) · Easiest: Houston Christian (98%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #74

Wk 1
@ Indiana
Vegas +40.5
Likely Loss
0%
Wk 2
vs UNLV
Likely Win
77%
Wk 3
@ Texas St
Lean Win
63%
Wk 4
vs Houston Christian
Likely Win
98%
Wk 5
@ Tulsa
Likely Win
70%
Wk 6
vs Charlotte
Likely Win
94%
Wk 8
@ Navy
Toss-up
49%
Wk 9
vs FAU
Likely Win
80%
Wk 10
vs Rice
Likely Win
88%
Wk 11
@ UTSA
Toss-up
48%
Wk 12
@ Tulane
Toss-up
46%
Wk 13
vs UAB
Likely Win
91%

Rice

3.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Notre Dame (1%) · Easiest: Houston Christian (88%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #59

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs Houston Christian
Likely Win
88%
Wk 2
@ Notre Dame
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 3
vs W Michigan
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 4
@ Fresno State
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 5
vs UTSA
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 6
@ East Carolina
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 7
vs Tulsa
Toss-up
46%
Wk 8
@ FAU
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 10
@ North Texas
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 11
vs Tulane
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 12
@ Temple
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 13
vs Army
Likely Loss
28%

South Florida

8.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: UTSA (45%) · Easiest: Delaware State (97%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #108

Vegas win total8.5

Wk 1
vs FIU
Vegas -12.5
Likely Win
79%
Wk 2
@ Army
Toss-up
49%
Wk 3
vs Delaware State
Likely Win
97%
Wk 4
@ Bowling Green
Likely Win
86%
Wk 5
vs Temple
Likely Win
81%
Wk 6
@ UTSA
Lean Loss
45%
Wk 7
vs Kent State
Likely Win
95%
Wk 9
vs UAB
Likely Win
90%
Wk 10
@ East Carolina
Toss-up
48%
Wk 11
vs Memphis
Lean Win
62%
Wk 12
@ FAU
Lean Win
64%
Wk 13
vs Tulane
Lean Win
59%

Temple

5.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Penn State (16%) · Easiest: Rhode Island (92%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #100

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Rhode Island
Likely Win
92%
Wk 2
vs Penn State
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 3
@ Toledo
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 4
vs Army
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
@ South Florida
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 6
vs UConn
Lean Win
61%
Wk 7
vs Charlotte
Likely Win
82%
Wk 9
@ East Carolina
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 10
@ Navy
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
vs UAB
Likely Win
75%
Wk 12
vs Rice
Lean Win
68%
Wk 13
@ Memphis
Likely Loss
22%

Tulane

7.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Kansas State (27%) · Easiest: Charlotte (87%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #106

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Duke
Vegas +9
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 2
vs South Alabama
Likely Win
84%
Wk 3
@ Kansas State
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 4
vs Southern Miss
Likely Win
87%
Wk 6
@ Army
Toss-up
48%
Wk 7
vs Memphis
Lean Win
62%
Wk 8
vs UTSA
Lean Win
60%
Wk 9
@ Charlotte
Likely Win
87%
Wk 10
vs Tulsa
Likely Win
80%
Wk 11
@ Rice
Likely Win
77%
Wk 12
vs North Texas
Toss-up
54%
Wk 13
@ South Florida
Lean Loss
41%

Tulsa

5.3 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Arkansas (20%) · Easiest: East Texas A&M (92%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #103

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Oklahoma State
Vegas +12
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 2
@ Sam Houston
Likely Win
73%
Wk 3
vs East Texas A&M
Likely Win
92%
Wk 4
@ Arkansas
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 5
vs North Texas
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 6
@ Navy
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 7
@ Rice
Toss-up
54%
Wk 8
vs Army
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 10
@ Tulane
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 11
vs FAU
Toss-up
54%
Wk 12
vs Charlotte
Likely Win
82%
Wk 13
@ UTSA
Likely Loss
22%

UAB

3.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Illinois (4%) · Easiest: Samford (84%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #102

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Illinois
Vegas +27.5
Likely Loss
4%
Wk 2
vs UL Monroe
Lean Win
66%
Wk 3
@ Louisiana
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 4
vs Navy
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 5
vs Samford
Likely Win
84%
Wk 6
@ Memphis
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 7
vs East Carolina
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 9
@ South Florida
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 10
vs Charlotte
Lean Win
68%
Wk 11
@ Temple
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 12
vs UTSA
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 13
@ North Texas
Likely Loss
9%

UTSA

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas (7%) · Easiest: UT Rio Grande Valley (97%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #76

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs UT Rio Grande Valley
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
@ Texas St
Lean Win
58%
Wk 3
@ Texas
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 4
vs Colorado St
Likely Win
88%
Wk 5
@ Rice
Likely Win
75%
Wk 6
vs South Florida
Lean Win
55%
Wk 7
vs Navy
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
@ Tulane
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 10
@ FAU
Lean Win
62%
Wk 11
vs North Texas
Toss-up
52%
Wk 12
@ UAB
Likely Win
81%
Wk 13
vs Tulsa
Likely Win
78%

Delaware

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Virginia (12%) · Easiest: Merrimack (88%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #116

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Merrimack
Likely Win
88%
Wk 2
@ Vanderbilt
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 3
vs Coastal Carolina
Lean Win
61%
Wk 4
@ Virginia
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 5
vs Liberty
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 7
@ Middle Tennessee
Lean Win
64%
Wk 8
vs Missouri St
Lean Win
63%
Wk 9
@ Western Kentucky
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 10
@ Kennesaw St
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 11
vs FIU
Toss-up
53%
Wk 12
@ New Mexico St
Toss-up
53%
Wk 13
vs Jax State
Toss-up
51%

FIU

6.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: South Florida (21%) · Easiest: Long Island University (90%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #128

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ South Florida
Vegas +12.5
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 2
vs Buffalo
Lean Win
69%
Wk 3
@ FAU
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 4
vs Long Island University
Likely Win
90%
Wk 6
vs New Mexico St
Likely Win
72%
Wk 7
@ Jax State
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 8
vs Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
@ Liberty
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 10
vs Missouri St
Lean Win
68%
Wk 11
@ Delaware
Toss-up
47%
Wk 12
@ Kennesaw St
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 13
vs Sam Houston
Likely Win
79%

Jax State

7.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Western Kentucky (40%) · Easiest: Eastern Kentucky (91%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #136

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ North Dakota State
Likely Win
84%
Wk 1
vs Eastern Kentucky
Likely Win
91%
Wk 2
@ Ohio
Toss-up
47%
Wk 3
vs GA Southern
Lean Win
63%
Wk 4
vs Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
82%
Wk 6
@ Kennesaw St
Lean Loss
45%
Wk 7
vs FIU
Lean Win
61%
Wk 9
@ New Mexico St
Lean Win
61%
Wk 10
vs Sam Houston
Likely Win
81%
Wk 11
@ Western Kentucky
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 12
vs Missouri St
Lean Win
70%
Wk 13
@ Delaware
Toss-up
49%

Kennesaw St

6.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Tennessee (6%) · Easiest: West Georgia (90%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #95

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs West Georgia
Likely Win
90%
Wk 2
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
77%
Wk 3
@ Tennessee
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 4
@ Arkansas St
Toss-up
46%
Wk 6
vs Jax State
Lean Win
55%
Wk 7
@ Missouri St
Toss-up
52%
Wk 8
vs Liberty
Toss-up
45%
Wk 9
@ Middle Tennessee
Lean Win
69%
Wk 10
vs Delaware
Lean Win
63%
Wk 11
@ Sam Houston
Lean Win
67%
Wk 12
vs FIU
Lean Win
58%
Wk 13
@ Western Kentucky
Lean Loss
37%

Liberty

8.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (35%) · Easiest: Gardner-Webb (94%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #135

Wk 1
@ James Madison
Vegas +6
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 2
vs Gardner-Webb
Likely Win
94%
Wk 3
vs Ball State
Likely Win
89%
Wk 4
@ Coastal Carolina
Lean Win
63%
Wk 5
@ Delaware
Lean Win
59%
Wk 6
vs Sam Houston
Likely Win
87%
Wk 8
@ Kennesaw St
Toss-up
55%
Wk 9
vs FIU
Lean Win
70%
Wk 10
@ New Mexico St
Lean Win
70%
Wk 11
vs Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
87%
Wk 12
vs Western Kentucky
Lean Win
65%
Wk 13
@ Missouri St
Lean Win
64%

Louisiana Tech

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: LSU (5%) · Easiest: Northwestern State (91%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #78

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Northwestern State
Likely Win
91%
Wk 2
@ LSU
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 3
@ Baylor
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 5
vs Army
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 6
vs Louisiana
Toss-up
54%
Wk 7
@ UL Monroe
Lean Win
67%
Wk 8
vs Old Dominion
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 9
@ South Alabama
Toss-up
47%
Wk 10
@ Troy
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 11
vs Southern Miss
Lean Win
67%
Wk 12
vs Arkansas St
Lean Win
66%
Wk 13
@ GA Southern
Toss-up
49%

Middle Tennessee

3.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Kansas (7%) · Easiest: Murray State (75%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #126

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs Murray State
Likely Win
75%
Wk 2
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 3
vs Nevada
Toss-up
54%
Wk 4
@ Jax State
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 5
@ Kansas
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 7
vs Delaware
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 8
@ FIU
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
vs Kennesaw St
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 10
vs Western Kentucky
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 11
@ Liberty
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 12
@ Sam Houston
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 13
vs New Mexico St
Toss-up
46%

Missouri St

4.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas A&M (1%) · Easiest: Lindenwood (86%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #48

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ Texas A&M
Vegas +38.5
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 2
vs Lindenwood
Likely Win
86%
Wk 3
vs Marshall
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 4
@ SMU
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 6
@ Western Kentucky
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 7
vs Kennesaw St
Toss-up
48%
Wk 8
@ Delaware
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 9
vs Sam Houston
Likely Win
72%
Wk 10
@ FIU
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 11
vs New Mexico St
Lean Win
64%
Wk 12
@ Jax State
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 13
vs Liberty
Lean Loss
36%

New Mexico St

4.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Florida State (3%) · Easiest: Mercyhurst (82%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #122

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ Florida State
Vegas +29.5
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 1
vs Mercyhurst
Likely Win
82%
Wk 2
@ Hawai'i
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 4
vs New Mexico
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 5
vs Western Kentucky
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 6
@ FIU
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 8
@ Sam Houston
Toss-up
52%
Wk 9
vs Jax State
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 10
vs Liberty
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 11
@ Missouri St
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 12
vs Delaware
Toss-up
47%
Wk 13
@ Middle Tennessee
Toss-up
54%

Sam Houston

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (1%) · Easiest: Nicholls (76%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #87

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Troy
Vegas +17
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 2
vs Tulsa
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 3
vs Nicholls
Likely Win
76%
Wk 4
@ Texas Tech
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 6
@ Liberty
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 7
vs Western Kentucky
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 8
vs New Mexico St
Toss-up
48%
Wk 9
@ Missouri St
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 10
@ Jax State
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 11
vs Kennesaw St
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 12
vs Middle Tennessee
Lean Win
60%
Wk 13
@ FIU
Likely Loss
21%

UTEP

3.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oklahoma (0%) · Easiest: Texas Southern (70%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #51

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Oklahoma
Vegas +40.5
Likely Loss
0%
Wk 2
vs Texas Southern
Lean Win
70%
Wk 3
@ Michigan
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 4
vs Oregon St
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 5
@ New Mexico
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 6
vs Nevada
Toss-up
48%
Wk 7
vs San José St
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 9
@ North Dakota State
Toss-up
55%
Wk 10
vs Hawai'i
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 11
vs Wyoming
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 12
@ Air Force
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 13
@ N Illinois
Lean Loss
41%

Western Kentucky

6.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Indiana (2%) · Easiest: Mercyhurst (92%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #49

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ Nevada
Vegas -3.5
Lean Win
59%
Wk 2
@ Georgia
Likely Loss
4%
Wk 3
@ Indiana
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 4
vs Mercyhurst
Likely Win
92%
Wk 5
@ New Mexico St
Lean Win
63%
Wk 6
vs Missouri St
Likely Win
72%
Wk 7
@ Sam Houston
Likely Win
71%
Wk 9
vs Delaware
Lean Win
67%
Wk 10
@ Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
73%
Wk 11
vs Jax State
Lean Win
60%
Wk 12
@ Liberty
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 13
vs Kennesaw St
Lean Win
63%

Notre Dame

11.4 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (80%) · Easiest: Rice (99%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #50

Vegas win total11.5

Wk 1
@ Wisconsin (neutral)
Vegas -20.5
Likely Win
91%
Wk 2
vs Rice
Likely Win
99%
Wk 3
vs Michigan State
Likely Win
98%
Wk 4
@ Purdue
Likely Win
98%
Wk 5
@ North Carolina
Likely Win
97%
Wk 6
vs Stanford
Likely Win
99%
Wk 7
@ BYU
Likely Win
87%
Wk 9
vs Navy (neutral)
Likely Win
97%
Wk 10
vs Miami
Likely Win
80%
Wk 11
vs Boston College
Likely Win
99%
Wk 12
vs SMU
Likely Win
94%
Wk 13
@ Syracuse
Likely Win
97%

UConn

5.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (21%) · Easiest: Lafayette (91%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #117

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Lafayette
Likely Win
91%
Wk 2
vs Maryland
Lean Loss
45%
Wk 3
@ Southern Miss
Toss-up
50%
Wk 4
@ Miami (OH)
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 5
vs Syracuse
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
@ Temple
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 8
vs UMass
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
@ Air Force
Toss-up
49%
Wk 10
vs North Carolina
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 11
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 12
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 13
@ Wyoming
Lean Win
59%

Akron

4.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Wake Forest (7%) · Easiest: Robert Morris (83%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #118

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ Wake Forest
Vegas +22.5
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 2
vs Robert Morris
Likely Win
83%
Wk 3
@ Minnesota
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs UNLV
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 5
@ C Michigan
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 6
vs E Michigan
Toss-up
53%
Wk 7
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 8
@ Kent State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs Ohio
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 11
vs W Michigan
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 12
@ UMass
Toss-up
51%
Wk 13
vs Buffalo
Toss-up
54%

Ball State

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (0%) · Easiest: Stony Brook (71%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #84

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Ohio State
Vegas +50
Likely Loss
0%
Wk 2
vs Stony Brook
Likely Win
71%
Wk 3
@ Liberty
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 4
@ Kent State
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 5
vs Toledo
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 6
@ Northwestern
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 7
@ Bowling Green
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 8
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
71%
Wk 10
@ UMass
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 11
vs Buffalo
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 12
@ Ohio
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 13
vs C Michigan
Likely Loss
29%

Bowling Green

4.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Nebraska (6%) · Easiest: Tarleton State (80%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #109

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Tarleton State
Likely Win
80%
Wk 2
@ Nebraska
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 3
@ Iowa State
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs South Florida
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 5
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 6
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
80%
Wk 7
vs Ball State
Lean Win
69%
Wk 8
@ Buffalo
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 9
@ W Michigan
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 11
vs Kent State
Lean Win
67%
Wk 12
@ Toledo
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 13
vs UMass
Lean Win
64%

Buffalo

5.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Penn State (5%) · Easiest: UAlbany (85%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #92

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs UAlbany
Likely Win
85%
Wk 2
@ FIU
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 3
@ Penn State
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 4
vs Robert Morris
Likely Win
85%
Wk 5
vs W Michigan
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 6
@ Toledo
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 7
vs UMass
Likely Win
71%
Wk 8
vs Bowling Green
Lean Win
65%
Wk 10
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
@ Ball State
Lean Win
62%
Wk 12
vs C Michigan
Toss-up
48%
Wk 13
@ Akron
Toss-up
46%

C Michigan

6.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Miami (2%) · Easiest: Colgate (89%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #90

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ New Mexico
Vegas +12.5
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 2
vs Colgate
Likely Win
89%
Wk 3
vs Wyoming
Lean Win
70%
Wk 4
@ Miami
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 5
vs Akron
Likely Win
71%
Wk 6
@ Ohio
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 7
vs W Michigan
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 8
vs Miami (OH)
Toss-up
45%
Wk 10
@ E Michigan (neutral)
Lean Win
59%
Wk 11
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
89%
Wk 12
@ Buffalo
Toss-up
52%
Wk 13
@ Ball State
Likely Win
71%

E Michigan

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Wisconsin (10%) · Easiest: Sacramento State (85%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #124

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs San José St
Vegas -3.5
Lean Win
59%
Wk 1
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
85%
Wk 2
@ Michigan State
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 3
@ Wisconsin
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs Lindenwood
Likely Win
85%
Wk 5
@ UMass
Lean Win
56%
Wk 6
@ Akron
Toss-up
47%
Wk 7
vs Toledo
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 8
@ Ohio
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 10
vs C Michigan (neutral)
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 12
@ W Michigan
Likely Loss
20%
Wk 13
vs Kent State
Likely Win
74%

Kent State

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Ohio State (0%) · Easiest: Wofford (73%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #79

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ South Carolina
Vegas +34.5
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 2
vs Wofford
Likely Win
73%
Wk 3
@ Ohio State
Likely Loss
0%
Wk 4
vs Ball State
Lean Win
60%
Wk 5
vs Ohio
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 6
@ W Michigan
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 7
@ South Florida
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 8
vs Akron
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 9
@ Sacramento State
Lean Win
59%
Wk 11
@ Bowling Green
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 12
vs Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 13
@ E Michigan
Likely Loss
26%

Miami (OH)

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Pittsburgh (15%) · Easiest: Holy Cross (93%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #125

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Pittsburgh
Vegas +16
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 2
vs Holy Cross
Likely Win
93%
Wk 3
@ Cincinnati
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 4
vs UConn
Lean Win
66%
Wk 5
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
83%
Wk 6
@ UMass
Likely Win
76%
Wk 7
vs Akron
Likely Win
80%
Wk 8
@ C Michigan
Toss-up
55%
Wk 10
vs Buffalo
Likely Win
78%
Wk 11
vs Ohio
Likely Win
70%
Wk 12
@ Kent State
Likely Win
79%
Wk 13
@ W Michigan
Lean Loss
39%

N Illinois

3.9 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Iowa (3%) · Easiest: Illinois State (71%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #55

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Iowa
Vegas +30
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 2
vs Illinois State
Likely Win
71%
Wk 3
@ Arizona
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 4
@ Georgia St
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 6
vs Air Force
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 7
@ Wyoming
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 8
vs Hawai'i
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 9
@ UNLV
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 10
@ San José St
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 11
vs Nevada
Toss-up
49%
Wk 12
@ North Dakota State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 13
vs UTEP
Lean Win
59%

Ohio

6.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Nebraska (6%) · Easiest: Stonehill (89%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #127

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ Nebraska
Vegas +23.5
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 2
vs Jax State
Toss-up
53%
Wk 3
@ South Alabama
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 4
vs Stonehill
Likely Win
89%
Wk 5
@ Kent State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 6
vs C Michigan
Lean Win
58%
Wk 7
@ Sacramento State
Likely Win
81%
Wk 8
vs E Michigan
Lean Win
67%
Wk 10
@ Akron
Lean Win
56%
Wk 11
@ Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 12
vs Ball State
Likely Win
82%
Wk 13
vs Toledo
Toss-up
49%

Toledo

7.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Michigan State (25%) · Easiest: Central Connecticut (92%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #130

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Michigan State
Vegas +10.5
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 2
vs Central Connecticut
Likely Win
92%
Wk 3
vs Temple
Lean Win
59%
Wk 4
vs San Diego State
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 5
@ Ball State
Likely Win
77%
Wk 6
vs Buffalo
Likely Win
74%
Wk 7
@ E Michigan
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
vs W Michigan
Toss-up
50%
Wk 10
@ Sacramento State
Likely Win
86%
Wk 11
vs UMass
Likely Win
83%
Wk 12
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
80%
Wk 13
@ Ohio
Toss-up
51%

UMass

5.0 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Rutgers (2%) · Easiest: Sacred Heart (76%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #133

Wk 1
@ Rutgers
Vegas +30.5
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 2
vs Sacred Heart
Likely Win
76%
Wk 3
vs Stonehill
Likely Win
76%
Wk 4
@ Sacramento State
Lean Win
63%
Wk 5
vs E Michigan
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
vs Miami (OH)
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 7
@ Buffalo
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 8
@ UConn
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 10
vs Ball State
Lean Win
64%
Wk 11
@ Toledo
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 12
vs Akron
Toss-up
49%
Wk 13
@ Bowling Green
Lean Loss
36%

W Michigan

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Michigan (4%) · Easiest: Monmouth (94%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #89

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Michigan
Vegas +26.5
Likely Loss
4%
Wk 2
vs Monmouth
Likely Win
94%
Wk 3
@ Rice
Lean Win
61%
Wk 4
vs Boise State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
@ Buffalo
Lean Win
68%
Wk 6
vs Kent State
Likely Win
89%
Wk 7
@ C Michigan
Lean Win
58%
Wk 8
@ Toledo
Toss-up
50%
Wk 9
vs Bowling Green
Likely Win
85%
Wk 11
@ Akron
Likely Win
71%
Wk 12
vs E Michigan
Likely Win
80%
Wk 13
vs Miami (OH)
Lean Win
61%

Air Force

6.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Army (17%) · Easiest: Duquesne (88%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #131

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Duquesne
Likely Win
88%
Wk 2
vs North Dakota State
Likely Win
88%
Wk 4
@ Nevada
Lean Win
62%
Wk 5
vs Navy
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 6
@ N Illinois
Lean Win
69%
Wk 7
vs UNLV
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 8
@ Wyoming
Toss-up
53%
Wk 9
vs UConn
Toss-up
51%
Wk 10
@ Army
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 11
vs San José St
Lean Win
69%
Wk 12
vs UTEP
Likely Win
82%
Wk 13
@ New Mexico
Lean Loss
32%

Boise State

7.6 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: Oregon (6%) · Easiest: South Dakota (97%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #71

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Oregon
Vegas +24.5
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 2
vs Memphis
Lean Win
64%
Wk 3
vs South Dakota
Likely Win
97%
Wk 4
@ W Michigan
Lean Win
63%
Wk 5
vs Utah State
Likely Win
83%
Wk 6
@ Fresno State
Lean Win
58%
Wk 8
@ Washington St
Lean Win
67%
Wk 9
vs Texas St
Likely Win
76%
Wk 10
@ Colorado St
Likely Win
82%
Wk 11
vs Oregon St
Likely Win
90%
Wk 12
vs San Diego State
Likely Win
71%

Colorado St

3.6 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: BYU (8%) · Easiest: Southern Utah (86%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #99

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs Wyoming
Vegas -4
Lean Win
60%
Wk 2
vs Southern Utah
Likely Win
86%
Wk 3
vs BYU
Likely Loss
8%
Wk 4
@ UTSA
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 5
vs Oregon St
Lean Win
59%
Wk 7
@ Texas St
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 8
vs San Diego State
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 9
@ Utah State
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 10
vs Boise State
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 11
@ Washington St
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 12
@ Fresno State
Likely Loss
18%

Fresno State

6.6 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: USC (6%) · Easiest: Sacramento State (95%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #86

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
@ USC
Vegas +23.5
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 2
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
95%
Wk 3
@ San José St
Likely Win
76%
Wk 4
vs Rice
Likely Win
79%
Wk 5
@ Washington St
Toss-up
52%
Wk 6
vs Boise State
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 7
@ San Diego State
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 9
vs Oregon St
Likely Win
82%
Wk 10
@ Utah State
Lean Win
57%
Wk 11
@ Texas St
Toss-up
46%
Wk 12
vs Colorado St
Likely Win
82%

Hawai'i

7.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Arizona State (15%) · Easiest: North Dakota State (91%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #132

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs UNLV
Vegas +1.5
Toss-up
46%
Wk 1
@ Stanford
Vegas +3.2
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 2
vs New Mexico St
Likely Win
76%
Wk 4
@ Wyoming
Lean Win
61%
Wk 5
vs San José St
Likely Win
76%
Wk 6
@ Arizona State
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 7
vs New Mexico
Lean Win
55%
Wk 8
@ N Illinois
Likely Win
76%
Wk 10
@ UTEP
Likely Win
77%
Wk 11
vs North Dakota State
Likely Win
91%
Wk 12
@ Nevada
Lean Win
69%
Wk 13
vs Sacramento State
Likely Win
91%

Nevada

5.0 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: UCLA (6%) · Easiest: Montana State (77%)

4 toss-ups · Schedule strength #129

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Western Kentucky
Vegas +3.5
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 2
vs Montana State
Likely Win
77%
Wk 3
@ Middle Tennessee
Toss-up
46%
Wk 4
vs Air Force
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 6
@ UTEP
Toss-up
52%
Wk 7
@ North Dakota State
Lean Win
64%
Wk 8
vs San José St
Toss-up
50%
Wk 9
@ UCLA
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 10
vs New Mexico
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 11
@ N Illinois
Toss-up
51%
Wk 12
vs Hawai'i
Lean Loss
31%
Wk 13
@ UNLV
Likely Loss
13%

New Mexico

7.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Oklahoma (7%) · Easiest: Mercyhurst (92%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #96

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs C Michigan
Vegas -12.5
Likely Win
79%
Wk 2
vs Mercyhurst
Likely Win
92%
Wk 3
@ Oklahoma
Likely Loss
7%
Wk 4
@ New Mexico St
Lean Win
65%
Wk 5
vs UTEP
Likely Win
88%
Wk 7
@ Hawai'i
Lean Loss
45%
Wk 8
vs North Dakota State
Likely Win
92%
Wk 9
@ San José St
Lean Win
65%
Wk 10
@ Nevada
Likely Win
71%
Wk 11
vs UNLV
Toss-up
49%
Wk 12
@ Wyoming
Lean Win
63%
Wk 13
vs Air Force
Lean Win
68%

San Diego State

6.6 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: UCLA (28%) · Easiest: Portland State (96%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #105

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Portland State
Likely Win
96%
Wk 2
@ UCLA
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 3
vs James Madison
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 4
@ Toledo
Lean Win
57%
Wk 5
vs Texas St
Lean Win
64%
Wk 6
@ Oregon St
Likely Win
73%
Wk 7
vs Fresno State
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
@ Colorado St
Likely Win
72%
Wk 9
vs Washington St
Lean Win
69%
Wk 11
vs Utah State
Likely Win
73%
Wk 12
@ Boise State
Likely Loss
29%

San José St

5.9 projected wins · 13 games

Toughest: USC (1%) · Easiest: Cal Poly (82%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #91

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ E Michigan
Vegas +3.5
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 1
@ USC
Vegas +35.5
Likely Loss
1%
Wk 2
vs Cal Poly
Likely Win
82%
Wk 3
vs Fresno State
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 5
@ Hawai'i
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 6
vs Wyoming
Lean Win
56%
Wk 7
@ UTEP
Lean Win
59%
Wk 8
@ Nevada
Toss-up
50%
Wk 9
vs New Mexico
Lean Loss
35%
Wk 10
vs N Illinois
Likely Win
73%
Wk 11
@ Air Force
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 12
vs UNLV
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 13
vs North Dakota State
Likely Win
82%

UNLV

7.9 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: North Texas (23%) · Easiest: North Dakota State (94%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #121

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Hawai'i
Vegas -1.5
Toss-up
54%
Wk 1
vs Memphis
Vegas -3
Lean Win
58%
Wk 2
@ North Texas
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 4
@ Akron
Likely Win
72%
Wk 5
vs California
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
vs North Dakota State
Likely Win
94%
Wk 7
@ Air Force
Lean Win
61%
Wk 9
vs N Illinois
Likely Win
91%
Wk 10
vs Wyoming
Likely Win
82%
Wk 11
@ New Mexico
Toss-up
51%
Wk 12
@ San José St
Likely Win
72%
Wk 13
vs Nevada
Likely Win
87%

Utah State

4.7 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: Washington (9%) · Easiest: Idaho State (92%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #75

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Idaho State
Likely Win
92%
Wk 2
@ Washington
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 3
@ Utah
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 4
vs Troy
Lean Win
56%
Wk 5
@ Boise State
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 6
vs Washington St
Toss-up
53%
Wk 8
@ Texas St
Lean Loss
32%
Wk 9
vs Colorado St
Likely Win
71%
Wk 10
vs Fresno State
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 11
@ San Diego State
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 12
@ Oregon St
Lean Win
57%

Wyoming

5.9 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: UNLV (18%) · Easiest: Northern Colorado (83%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #134

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Colorado St
Vegas +4
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 2
vs Northern Colorado
Likely Win
83%
Wk 3
@ C Michigan
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 4
vs Hawai'i
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 5
@ North Dakota State
Likely Win
72%
Wk 6
@ San José St
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 7
vs N Illinois
Likely Win
74%
Wk 8
vs Air Force
Toss-up
47%
Wk 10
@ UNLV
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 11
@ UTEP
Lean Win
61%
Wk 12
vs New Mexico
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 13
vs UConn
Lean Loss
41%

Oregon St

3.7 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: Texas Tech (4%) · Easiest: Montana (85%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #64

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Houston
Vegas +18.5
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 2
vs Texas Tech
Likely Loss
4%
Wk 3
vs Montana
Likely Win
85%
Wk 4
@ UTEP
Lean Win
65%
Wk 5
@ Colorado St
Lean Loss
41%
Wk 6
vs San Diego State
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 7
vs Washington St
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 9
@ Fresno State
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 10
vs Texas St
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 11
@ Boise State
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 12
vs Utah State
Lean Loss
43%

Washington St

4.7 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: Washington (8%) · Easiest: Duquesne (93%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #57

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ Washington
Vegas +21.5
Likely Loss
8%
Wk 2
@ Kansas State
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 3
vs Duquesne
Likely Win
93%
Wk 4
vs Arizona
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 5
vs Fresno State
Toss-up
48%
Wk 6
@ Utah State
Toss-up
47%
Wk 7
@ Oregon St
Lean Win
62%
Wk 8
vs Boise State
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 9
@ San Diego State
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 11
vs Colorado St
Likely Win
75%
Wk 12
@ Texas St
Lean Loss
37%

Appalachian State

5.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: NC State (15%) · Easiest: Maine (90%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #115

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs Maine
Likely Win
90%
Wk 2
@ East Carolina
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 3
vs Charlotte
Likely Win
77%
Wk 4
@ NC State
Likely Loss
15%
Wk 6
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 7
@ Coastal Carolina
Toss-up
50%
Wk 8
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
@ GA Southern
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 10
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
77%
Wk 11
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 12
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
76%
Wk 13
@ South Alabama
Lean Loss
42%

Arkansas St

5.8 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: TCU (12%) · Easiest: West Georgia (88%)

4 toss-ups · Schedule strength #119

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Memphis
Vegas +10.5
Likely Loss
25%
Wk 2
vs West Georgia
Likely Win
88%
Wk 3
@ TCU
Likely Loss
12%
Wk 4
vs Kennesaw St
Toss-up
54%
Wk 5
@ Louisiana
Likely Loss
30%
Wk 6
vs South Alabama
Toss-up
54%
Wk 7
@ Southern Miss
Lean Loss
43%
Wk 8
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
74%
Wk 10
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
73%
Wk 11
@ Coastal Carolina
Toss-up
46%
Wk 12
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 13
vs Troy
Toss-up
47%

Coastal Carolina

4.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (8%) · Easiest: Fordham (86%)

3 toss-ups · Schedule strength #110

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
@ West Virginia
Vegas +17.5
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 2
vs Fordham
Likely Win
86%
Wk 3
@ Delaware
Lean Loss
39%
Wk 4
vs Liberty
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 5
vs GA Southern
Toss-up
52%
Wk 6
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
21%
Wk 7
vs Appalachian State
Toss-up
50%
Wk 9
@ Georgia St
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
22%
Wk 11
vs Arkansas St
Toss-up
54%
Wk 12
@ Louisiana
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 13
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
8%

GA Southern

4.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Clemson (9%) · Easiest: Charleston Southern (89%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #98

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Charleston Southern
Likely Win
89%
Wk 2
@ Clemson
Likely Loss
9%
Wk 3
@ Jax State
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 4
vs Houston
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 5
@ Coastal Carolina
Toss-up
48%
Wk 6
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
18%
Wk 7
@ Old Dominion
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 9
vs Appalachian State
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs Marshall
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 11
@ Georgia St
Lean Win
62%
Wk 12
@ Troy
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 13
vs Louisiana Tech
Toss-up
51%

Georgia St

3.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (5%) · Easiest: North Carolina A&T (78%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #111

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
vs North Carolina A&T
Likely Win
78%
Wk 2
@ Kennesaw St
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 3
@ UCF
Likely Loss
10%
Wk 4
vs N Illinois
Lean Win
67%
Wk 5
vs Old Dominion
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 7
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 8
@ Arkansas St
Likely Loss
26%
Wk 9
vs Coastal Carolina
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 10
@ Appalachian State
Likely Loss
23%
Wk 11
vs GA Southern
Lean Loss
38%
Wk 12
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 13
vs Louisiana
Likely Loss
28%

James Madison

9.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Old Dominion (54%) · Easiest: Wagner (98%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #114

Wk 1
vs Liberty
Vegas -6
Lean Win
65%
Wk 2
vs Wagner
Likely Win
98%
Wk 3
@ San Diego State
Lean Win
63%
Wk 4
@ Old Dominion
Toss-up
54%
Wk 5
vs Marshall
Likely Win
81%
Wk 6
@ GA Southern
Likely Win
82%
Wk 7
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
95%
Wk 8
@ Appalachian State
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
vs Troy
Likely Win
86%
Wk 10
@ Southern Miss
Likely Win
84%
Wk 11
@ UConn
Likely Win
79%
Wk 13
vs Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
92%

Louisiana

7.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: USC (5%) · Easiest: Lamar (93%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #97

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
vs Lamar
Likely Win
93%
Wk 2
@ USC
Likely Loss
5%
Wk 3
vs UAB
Likely Win
77%
Wk 4
@ Charlotte
Likely Win
72%
Wk 5
vs Arkansas St
Likely Win
70%
Wk 6
@ Louisiana Tech
Toss-up
46%
Wk 7
vs Troy
Lean Win
60%
Wk 8
@ Southern Miss
Lean Win
56%
Wk 10
vs South Alabama
Lean Win
67%
Wk 11
@ UL Monroe
Likely Win
71%
Wk 12
vs Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
73%
Wk 13
@ Georgia St
Likely Win
72%

Marshall

7.5 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Penn State (6%) · Easiest: Gardner-Webb (94%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #94

Vegas win total7.5

Wk 1
@ Penn State
Vegas +23.5
Likely Loss
6%
Wk 2
vs Middle Tennessee
Likely Win
89%
Wk 3
@ Missouri St
Lean Win
67%
Wk 4
vs Gardner-Webb
Likely Win
94%
Wk 5
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 6
vs Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
79%
Wk 8
vs South Alabama
Likely Win
73%
Wk 9
@ Old Dominion
Likely Loss
28%
Wk 10
@ GA Southern
Lean Win
60%
Wk 11
vs Appalachian State
Likely Win
73%
Wk 12
vs Georgia St
Likely Win
87%
Wk 13
@ UL Monroe
Likely Win
76%

Old Dominion

8.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: James Madison (46%) · Easiest: Norfolk State (97%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #112

Wk 1
vs Norfolk State
Likely Win
97%
Wk 2
@ Virginia Tech
Toss-up
49%
Wk 3
vs East Carolina
Lean Win
62%
Wk 4
vs James Madison
Toss-up
46%
Wk 5
@ Georgia St
Likely Win
86%
Wk 6
@ Appalachian State
Likely Win
72%
Wk 7
vs GA Southern
Likely Win
84%
Wk 8
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Win
68%
Wk 9
vs Marshall
Likely Win
72%
Wk 10
@ Coastal Carolina
Likely Win
78%
Wk 12
@ UConn
Lean Win
70%
Wk 13
vs Southern Miss
Likely Win
86%

South Alabama

5.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Tulane (16%) · Easiest: SE Louisiana (90%)

4 toss-ups · Schedule strength #113

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
vs SE Louisiana
Likely Win
90%
Wk 2
@ Tulane
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 3
vs Ohio
Lean Win
59%
Wk 4
@ Kentucky
Likely Loss
17%
Wk 5
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
76%
Wk 6
@ Arkansas St
Toss-up
46%
Wk 8
@ Marshall
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 9
vs Louisiana Tech
Toss-up
53%
Wk 10
@ Louisiana
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 11
vs Troy
Toss-up
51%
Wk 12
@ Southern Miss
Toss-up
47%
Wk 13
vs Appalachian State
Lean Win
58%

Southern Miss

4.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Auburn (8%) · Easiest: Alcorn State (88%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #81

Vegas win total4.5

Wk 1
vs Alcorn State
Likely Win
88%
Wk 2
@ Auburn
Likely Loss
8%
Wk 3
vs UConn
Toss-up
50%
Wk 4
@ Tulane
Likely Loss
13%
Wk 6
@ Troy
Likely Loss
31%
Wk 7
vs Arkansas St
Lean Win
57%
Wk 8
vs Louisiana
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 9
@ UL Monroe
Lean Win
58%
Wk 10
vs James Madison
Likely Loss
16%
Wk 11
@ Louisiana Tech
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 12
vs South Alabama
Toss-up
53%
Wk 13
@ Old Dominion
Likely Loss
14%

Texas St

5.7 projected wins · 11 games

Toughest: Texas (2%) · Easiest: Incarnate Word (94%)

1 toss-up · Schedule strength #68

Vegas win total5.5

Wk 1
@ Texas
Vegas +30.5
Likely Loss
2%
Wk 2
vs UTSA
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 3
vs North Texas
Lean Loss
37%
Wk 4
vs Incarnate Word
Likely Win
94%
Wk 5
@ San Diego State
Lean Loss
36%
Wk 7
vs Colorado St
Likely Win
79%
Wk 8
vs Utah State
Lean Win
68%
Wk 9
@ Boise State
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 10
@ Oregon St
Lean Win
67%
Wk 11
vs Fresno State
Toss-up
54%
Wk 12
vs Washington St
Lean Win
63%

Troy

6.7 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Missouri (11%) · Easiest: Alabama State (92%)

2 toss-ups · Schedule strength #120

Vegas win total6.5

Wk 1
vs Sam Houston
Vegas -17
Likely Win
87%
Wk 2
vs Alabama State
Likely Win
92%
Wk 3
@ Missouri
Likely Loss
11%
Wk 4
@ Utah State
Lean Loss
44%
Wk 6
vs Southern Miss
Lean Win
69%
Wk 7
@ Louisiana
Lean Loss
40%
Wk 8
vs UL Monroe
Likely Win
81%
Wk 9
@ James Madison
Likely Loss
14%
Wk 10
vs Louisiana Tech
Lean Win
60%
Wk 11
@ South Alabama
Toss-up
49%
Wk 12
vs GA Southern
Lean Win
67%
Wk 13
@ Arkansas St
Toss-up
53%

UL Monroe

3.6 projected wins · 12 games

Toughest: Mississippi St (3%) · Easiest: SE Louisiana (79%)

0 toss-ups · Schedule strength #123

Vegas win total3.5

Wk 1
@ Mississippi St
Vegas +28.5
Likely Loss
3%
Wk 2
@ UAB
Lean Loss
34%
Wk 3
vs SE Louisiana
Likely Win
79%
Wk 4
vs FAU
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 5
@ South Alabama
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 7
vs Louisiana Tech
Lean Loss
33%
Wk 8
@ Troy
Likely Loss
19%
Wk 9
vs Southern Miss
Lean Loss
42%
Wk 10
@ Arkansas St
Likely Loss
27%
Wk 11
vs Louisiana
Likely Loss
29%
Wk 12
@ Appalachian State
Likely Loss
24%
Wk 13
vs Marshall
Likely Loss
24%