#42 Mountain West Conference

Boise State

Projected 8–3 · 7.6 proj. wins

Playoff:IN

Playoff

3%

Title

0%

Win conf

3%

SOS

#71

Schedule & outlook

Chaos meter23 · CALM
CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

  • LOCKWin outin the field, no committee debate.
  • RISKLose to Oregonthe margin for error vanishes.
  • CHAOSTwo lossesnow you'd need chaos elsewhere.

Full odds

Make the 12
3%
16-team field
8%
24-team field
19%
Win conference
3%
National title
0%

Up next

@ Oregon· W15% WIN
Matchup preview & buzz →

Rooting guide

Beyond Boise State's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.

Win the MOUNTAIN WEST

The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.

At-large dogfight

Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.

The buzz

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Board 49 · Polls 46 · Model 51 · Updated Jun 21, 2026