#112 Pac-12 Conference
Oregon St
Projected 4–7 · 3.7 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
1%
Title
0%
Win conf
41%
SOS
#64
Schedule & outlook
- W1@ Houston6%
- W2vs Texas Tech4%
- W3vs Montana85%
- W4@ UTEP65%
- W5@ Colorado St41%
- W6vs San Diego State27%
- W7vs Washington St38%
- W9@ Fresno State18%
- W10vs Texas St33%
- W11@ Boise State10%
- W12vs Utah State43%
Chaos meter22 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin the Pac-12 Conference → the auto-bid and you're in.
- RISKLose to Texas Tech → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 1%
- 16-team field
- 1%
- 24-team field
- 3%
- Win conference
- 41%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Oregon St's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 38 · Polls 40 · Model 37 · Updated Jun 21, 2026