#75 Mountain West Conference
Fresno State
Projected 7–4 · 6.6 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
2%
Title
0%
Win conf
9%
SOS
#86
Schedule & outlook
- W1@ USC8%
- W2vs Sacramento State95%
- W3@ San José St76%
- W4vs Rice79%
- W5@ Washington St52%
- W6vs Boise State42%
- W7@ San Diego State40%
- W9vs Oregon St82%
- W10@ Utah State57%
- W11@ Texas St46%
- W12vs Colorado St82%
Chaos meter24 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to USC → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 2%
- 16-team field
- 3%
- 24-team field
- 8%
- Win conference
- 9%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Fresno State's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the MOUNTAIN WEST
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 45 · Polls 42 · Model 47 · Updated Jun 21, 2026