#53 Atlantic Coast Conference
North Carolina
Projected 5–7 · 4.5 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
2%
Title
0%
Win conf
1%
SOS
#62
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs TCU34%
- W2vs East Tennessee State95%
- W3@ Clemson21%
- W5vs Notre Dame3%
- W6@ Pittsburgh25%
- W7@ Duke38%
- W8vs Syracuse62%
- W9vs Miami9%
- W10@ UConn60%
- W11vs Louisville35%
- W12@ Virginia27%
- W13vs NC State43%
Chaos meter27 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 2%
- 16-team field
- 4%
- 24-team field
- 7%
- Win conference
- 1%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond North Carolina's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the ACC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 49 · Polls 56 · Model 45 · Updated Jun 21, 2026