#45 Atlantic Coast Conference
Virginia
Projected 8–4 · 7.7 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
11%
Title
0%
Win conf
4%
SOS
#70
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs NC State60%
- W2vs Norfolk State98%
- W3vs West Virginia63%
- W4vs Delaware88%
- W5@ Florida State39%
- W6vs Syracuse76%
- W7@ SMU30%
- W8vs Duke70%
- W9@ Wake Forest57%
- W11vs California66%
- W12vs North Carolina73%
- W13@ Virginia Tech55%
Chaos meter48 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to SMU → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 11%
- 16-team field
- 17%
- 24-team field
- 27%
- Win conference
- 4%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Virginia's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
The buzz
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Board 49 · Polls 44 · Model 52 · Updated Jun 21, 2026