#37 Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State
Projected 6–6 · 6.4 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
9%
Title
0%
Win conf
3%
SOS
#31
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs New Mexico St93%
- W1vs SMU48%
- W3@ Alabama20%
- W4vs Central Arkansas98%
- W5vs Virginia61%
- W6@ Louisville40%
- W7@ Miami10%
- W9vs Clemson53%
- W10@ Boston College75%
- W11@ Pittsburgh44%
- W12vs NC State64%
- W13vs Florida40%
Chaos meter44 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Miami → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 9%
- 16-team field
- 12%
- 24-team field
- 22%
- Win conference
- 3%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Florida State's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
The buzz
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Board 51 · Polls 47 · Model 53 · Updated Jun 21, 2026