#40 Big 12 Conference
Baylor
Projected 6–6 · 6.5 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
9%
Title
0%
Win conf
4%
SOS
#33
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Auburn39%
- W2vs Prairie View A&M98%
- W3vs Louisiana Tech84%
- W4vs Colorado72%
- W5@ Arizona State40%
- W7vs TCU59%
- W8@ Kansas53%
- W9@ UCF57%
- W10vs Iowa State68%
- W11@ BYU24%
- W12vs Texas Tech24%
- W13@ Houston29%
Chaos meter40 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Texas Tech → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 9%
- 16-team field
- 13%
- 24-team field
- 21%
- Win conference
- 4%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Baylor's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG 12
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Texas Tech46%
BYU22%
Utah21%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 50 · Polls 46 · Model 52 · Updated Jun 21, 2026