#77 American Athletic Conference
East Carolina
Projected 8–4 · 7.6 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
2%
Title
0%
Win conf
10%
SOS
#82
Schedule & outlook
- W1@ Alabama13%
- W2vs Appalachian State81%
- W3@ Old Dominion38%
- W4vs North Carolina Central96%
- W6vs Rice83%
- W7@ UAB79%
- W8@ Memphis40%
- W9vs Temple77%
- W10vs South Florida52%
- W11@ Charlotte85%
- W12@ Army43%
- W13vs FAU73%
Chaos meter20 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Alabama → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 2%
- 16-team field
- 4%
- 24-team field
- 12%
- Win conference
- 10%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond East Carolina's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the AAC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 45 · Polls 36 · Model 50 · Updated Jun 21, 2026