#88 Mountain West Conference
UNLV
Projected 8–4 · 7.8 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
2%
Title
0%
Win conf
25%
SOS
#121
Schedule & outlook
- W1@ Hawai'i53%
- W1vs Memphis44%
- W2@ North Texas23%
- W4@ Akron72%
- W5vs California44%
- W6vs North Dakota State94%
- W7@ Air Force61%
- W9vs N Illinois91%
- W10vs Wyoming82%
- W11@ New Mexico51%
- W12@ San José St72%
- W13vs Nevada87%
Chaos meter23 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin the Mountain West Conference → the auto-bid and you're in.
- RISKLose to North Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 2%
- 16-team field
- 3%
- 24-team field
- 7%
- Win conference
- 25%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond UNLV's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the MOUNTAIN WEST
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 42 · Polls 35 · Model 46 · Updated Jun 21, 2026