#70 American Athletic Conference
UTSA
Projected 8–4 · 7.5 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
3%
Title
0%
Win conf
11%
SOS
#76
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs UT Rio Grande Valley97%
- W2@ Texas St58%
- W3@ Texas7%
- W4vs Colorado St88%
- W5@ Rice75%
- W6vs South Florida55%
- W7vs Navy60%
- W8@ Tulane40%
- W10@ FAU62%
- W11vs North Texas52%
- W12@ UAB81%
- W13vs Tulsa78%
Chaos meter28 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 3%
- 16-team field
- 5%
- 24-team field
- 14%
- Win conference
- 11%
- National title
- 0%
Up next
vs UT Rio Grande Valley· W197% WIN
Rooting guide
Beyond UTSA's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the AAC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 47 · Polls 41 · Model 50 · Updated Jun 21, 2026