#3 Southeastern Conference
Texas
Projected 9–3 · 9.3 proj. wins
Playoff:IN
Playoff
49%
Title
6%
Win conf
21%
SOS
#3
Chaos meter66 · HEATING UP
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Ohio State → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSTwo losses → now you'd need chaos elsewhere.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 49%
- 16-team field
- 58%
- 24-team field
- 71%
- Win conference
- 21%
- National title
- 6%
Rooting guide
Beyond Texas's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the SEC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
Texas Tech46%
Ohio State52%
Miami58%
Indiana63%
The buzz
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Board 71 · Polls 78 · Model 67 · Updated Jun 21, 2026