#17 Big Ten Conference

Penn State

Projected 9–3 · 8.5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Playoff

25%

Title

1%

Win conf

4%

SOS

#38

Schedule & outlook

Chaos meter52 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

  • LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
  • RISKLose to Michigan → the margin for error vanishes.
  • CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12
25%
16-team field
32%
24-team field
46%
Win conference
4%
National title
1%

Up next

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Matchup preview & buzz →

Rooting guide

Beyond Penn State's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.

Win the BIG TEN

The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.

At-large dogfight

Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.

The buzz

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Board 61 · Polls 63 · Model 59 · Updated Jun 21, 2026