AFC South
Houston Texans
2026 projection
Projected wins
9.3
9–8
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
67%
win division 54%
Win Super Bowl
3%
reach SB 8%
The model projects Houston Texans to about 9.3 wins, with a 67% shot at the playoffs and a 5% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
vs Buffalo Bills· Wk 146% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Buffalo BillsVegas +1.5Toss-up46%
- Wk 2
vs Cincinnati BengalsVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 3
@ Indianapolis ColtsVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 4
vs Dallas CowboysVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 5
@ Tennessee TitansVegas -3.5Lean Win60% - Wk 6
vs Jacksonville Jaguars (neutral)Vegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 7
vs New York GiantsLikely Win67% - Wk 9
@ Los Angeles ChargersLean Loss43% - Wk 10
@ Cleveland BrownsLean Win65% - Wk 11vs Indianapolis ColtsLikely Win68%
- Wk 12
vs Baltimore RavensToss-up46% - Wk 13
@ Pittsburgh SteelersToss-up51% - Wk 14
@ Washington CommandersLean Win55% - Wk 15vs Jacksonville JaguarsLean Win61%
- Wk 16
@ Philadelphia EaglesLean Loss38% - Wk 17
@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss38% - Wk 18vs Tennessee TitansLikely Win74%
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