AFC South
Indianapolis Colts
2026 projection
Projected wins
7.6
8–9
Vegas win total
7.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
22%
win division 12%
Win Super Bowl
0%
reach SB 1%
The model projects Indianapolis Colts to about 7.6 wins, with a 22% shot at the playoffs and a 1% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
vs Baltimore Ravens· Wk 140% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Baltimore RavensVegas +3.5Lean Loss40%
- Wk 2
@ Kansas City ChiefsVegas +5.5Likely Loss34% - Wk 3
vs Houston TexansVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 4
vs Washington Commanders (neutral)Vegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 5
@ Pittsburgh SteelersVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 6
vs Tennessee TitansLean Win62% - Wk 7
@ Minnesota VikingsLean Loss38% - Wk 8
@ Jacksonville JaguarsLean Loss37% - Wk 9
vs Dallas CowboysLean Loss41% - Wk 10
vs Miami DolphinsLikely Win72% - Wk 11@ Houston TexansLikely Loss32%
- Wk 12
vs New York GiantsToss-up54% - Wk 14
@ Philadelphia EaglesLikely Loss26% - Wk 15@ Tennessee TitansToss-up50%
- Wk 16
vs Cincinnati BengalsToss-up46% - Wk 17
@ Cleveland BrownsToss-up52% - Wk 18vs Jacksonville JaguarsToss-up48%
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