NFC East
Washington Commanders
2026 projection
Projected wins
7.6
8–9
Vegas win total
7.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
15%
win division 7%
Win Super Bowl
0%
reach SB 1%
The model projects Washington Commanders to about 7.6 wins, with a 15% shot at the playoffs and a 1% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ Philadelphia Eagles· Wk 134% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Philadelphia EaglesVegas +5.5Likely Loss34%
- Wk 2
@ Dallas CowboysVegas +4.5Lean Loss37% - Wk 3
vs Seattle SeahawksVegas +3.5Lean Loss40% - Wk 4
vs Indianapolis Colts (neutral)Vegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 5
vs New York GiantsVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 6
@ San Francisco 49ersLikely Loss28% - Wk 8vs Philadelphia EaglesLean Loss39%
- Wk 9
vs Los Angeles RamsLean Loss36% - Wk 10@ New York GiantsLean Loss45%
- Wk 11
vs Cincinnati BengalsToss-up49% - Wk 12
@ Arizona CardinalsLean Win61% - Wk 13
@ Tennessee TitansToss-up53% - Wk 14
vs Houston TexansLean Loss45% - Wk 15
vs Atlanta FalconsLean Win62% - Wk 16
@ Minnesota VikingsLean Loss40% - Wk 17
@ Jacksonville JaguarsLean Loss39% - Wk 18vs Dallas CowboysLean Loss43%
The buzz
Loading the latest headlines…