NFC South
Atlanta Falcons
2026 projection
Projected wins
6.7
7–10
Vegas win total
6.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
11%
win division 9%
Win Super Bowl
0%
reach SB 0%
The model projects Atlanta Falcons to about 6.7 wins, with a 11% shot at the playoffs and a 0% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ Pittsburgh Steelers· Wk 141% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Pittsburgh SteelersVegas +3Lean Loss41%
- Wk 2
vs Carolina PanthersVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 3
@ Green Bay PackersVegas +7.5Likely Loss29% - Wk 4
@ New Orleans SaintsVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 5
vs Baltimore RavensLikely Loss30% - Wk 6
vs Chicago BearsLean Loss39% - Wk 7
vs San Francisco 49ersLikely Loss33% - Wk 8
@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersLikely Loss33% - Wk 9
vs Cincinnati Bengals (neutral)Lean Loss37% - Wk 10
vs Kansas City ChiefsLikely Loss34% - Wk 12
@ Minnesota VikingsLikely Loss34% - Wk 13
vs Detroit LionsLean Loss36% - Wk 14
@ Cleveland BrownsToss-up48% - Wk 15
@ Washington CommandersLean Loss38% - Wk 16vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLean Loss45%
- Wk 17vs New Orleans SaintsToss-up54%
- Wk 18@ Carolina PanthersLean Loss39%
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