NFC North
Detroit Lions
2026 projection
Projected wins
10.4
10–7
Vegas win total
10.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
69%
win division 36%
Win Super Bowl
5%
reach SB 9%
The model projects Detroit Lions to about 10.4 wins, with a 69% shot at the playoffs and a 10% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
vs New Orleans Saints· Wk 170% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs New Orleans SaintsVegas -7Likely Win70%
- Wk 2
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 3
vs New York JetsVegas -9.5Likely Win76% - Wk 4
@ Carolina PanthersVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 5
@ Arizona CardinalsLikely Win74% - Wk 7
vs Green Bay PackersToss-up52% - Wk 8
vs Minnesota VikingsLean Win65% - Wk 9
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win75% - Wk 10
vs New England Patriots (neutral)Toss-up54% - Wk 11
vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLean Win64% - Wk 12
vs Chicago BearsLean Win59% - Wk 13
@ Atlanta FalconsLean Win64% - Wk 14
vs Tennessee TitansLikely Win76% - Wk 15@ Minnesota VikingsToss-up54%
- Wk 16
vs New York GiantsLikely Win70% - Wk 17@ Chicago BearsToss-up47%
- Wk 18@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss41%
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