AFC East
Buffalo Bills
2026 projection
Projected wins
10.4
10–7
Vegas win total
10.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
85%
win division 67%
Win Super Bowl
9%
reach SB 17%
The model projects Buffalo Bills to about 10.4 wins, with a 85% shot at the playoffs and a 17% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ Houston Texans· Wk 154% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Houston TexansVegas -1.5Toss-up54%
- Wk 2
vs Detroit LionsVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 3
vs Los Angeles ChargersVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 4
vs New England PatriotsVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 5
@ Los Angeles RamsLean Loss41% - Wk 6
@ Las Vegas RaidersLikely Win74% - Wk 8
vs Baltimore RavensToss-up52% - Wk 9
@ Minnesota VikingsLean Win57% - Wk 10
@ New York JetsLikely Win76% - Wk 11
vs Miami DolphinsLikely Win86% - Wk 12
vs Kansas City ChiefsLean Win57% - Wk 13@ New England PatriotsToss-up51%
- Wk 14
@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss44% - Wk 15
vs Chicago BearsLean Win62% - Wk 16
@ Denver BroncosToss-up51% - Wk 17@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win78%
- Wk 18vs New York JetsLikely Win84%
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