NFC North
Chicago Bears
2026 projection
Projected wins
9.4
9–8
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
46%
win division 16%
Win Super Bowl
2%
reach SB 5%
The model projects Chicago Bears to about 9.4 wins, with a 46% shot at the playoffs and a 4% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ Carolina Panthers· Wk 157% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Carolina PanthersVegas -2.5Lean Win57%
- Wk 2
vs Minnesota VikingsVegas -3.5Lean Win60% - Wk 3
vs Philadelphia EaglesVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 4
vs New York JetsVegas -8.5Likely Win74% - Wk 5
@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss38% - Wk 6
@ Atlanta FalconsLean Win61% - Wk 7
vs New England PatriotsLean Win57% - Wk 8
@ Seattle SeahawksLean Loss37% - Wk 9
vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLean Win62% - Wk 11
vs New Orleans SaintsLikely Win71% - Wk 12
@ Detroit LionsLean Loss41% - Wk 13
vs Jacksonville JaguarsLean Win62% - Wk 14
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win73% - Wk 15
@ Buffalo BillsLean Loss38% - Wk 16vs Green Bay PackersToss-up50%
- Wk 17vs Detroit LionsToss-up53%
- Wk 18@ Minnesota VikingsToss-up51%
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