NFC South
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2026 projection
Projected wins
8.5
9–8
Vegas win total
8.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
52%
win division 50%
Win Super Bowl
1%
reach SB 4%
The model projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers to about 8.5 wins, with a 52% shot at the playoffs and a 1% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ Cincinnati Bengals· Wk 140% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Cincinnati BengalsVegas +3.5Lean Loss40%
- Wk 2
vs Cleveland BrownsVegas -6.5Likely Win68% - Wk 3
vs Minnesota VikingsVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 4
vs Green Bay PackersVegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 5
@ Dallas CowboysVegas +3.5Lean Loss40% - Wk 6
vs Pittsburgh SteelersLean Win57% - Wk 7
@ Carolina PanthersToss-up50% - Wk 8
vs Atlanta FalconsLikely Win67% - Wk 9
@ Chicago BearsLean Loss38% - Wk 11
@ Detroit LionsLean Loss36% - Wk 12vs Carolina PanthersLean Win61%
- Wk 13
vs Los Angeles ChargersToss-up49% - Wk 14
@ Baltimore RavensLikely Loss29% - Wk 15
vs New Orleans SaintsLean Win65% - Wk 16@ Atlanta FalconsLean Win55%
- Wk 17
vs Los Angeles RamsLean Loss41% - Wk 18@ New Orleans SaintsToss-up54%
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