NFC East
Dallas Cowboys
2026 projection
Projected wins
9.3
9–8
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
49%
win division 28%
Win Super Bowl
3%
reach SB 6%
The model projects Dallas Cowboys to about 9.3 wins, with a 49% shot at the playoffs and a 4% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ New York Giants· Wk 154% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ New York GiantsVegas -1.5Toss-up54%
- Wk 2
vs Washington CommandersVegas -4.5Lean Win63% - Wk 3
vs Baltimore Ravens (neutral)Vegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 4
@ Houston TexansVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 5
vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersVegas -3.5Lean Win60% - Wk 6
@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss40% - Wk 7
@ Philadelphia EaglesLean Loss40% - Wk 8
vs Arizona CardinalsLikely Win82% - Wk 9
@ Indianapolis ColtsLean Win59% - Wk 10
vs San Francisco 49ersToss-up52% - Wk 11
vs Tennessee TitansLikely Win75% - Wk 12vs Philadelphia EaglesToss-up52%
- Wk 13
@ Seattle SeahawksLean Loss38% - Wk 15
@ Los Angeles RamsLean Loss37% - Wk 16
vs Jacksonville JaguarsLean Win63% - Wk 17vs New York GiantsLikely Win69%
- Wk 18@ Washington CommandersLean Win57%
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