Projected playoff field
The 14-team bracket
Our projected 2026 field — four division winners (seeds 1–4) and three wild cards (5–7) per conference, with the top seed on a bye. Wild-card favorites by the model.
Projected Super Bowl
Baltimore Ravens
AFC · 27%
Los Angeles Rams
NFC · 19%
Model favorite to win it all: Baltimore Ravens at about 15%.
AFC
Top seed · bye
1Baltimore RavensBye
Baltimore RavensByeWild Card round
2
Buffalo Bills62%
Buffalo Bills62%7
Denver Broncos38%
Denver Broncos38%3
Kansas City Chiefs64%
Kansas City Chiefs64%6
Cincinnati Bengals36%
Cincinnati Bengals36%4
Houston Texans57%
Houston Texans57%5
New England Patriots43%
New England Patriots43%NFC
Top seed · bye
1Los Angeles RamsBye
Los Angeles RamsByeWild Card round
2
Green Bay Packers56%
Green Bay Packers56%7
San Francisco 49ers44%
San Francisco 49ers44%3
Philadelphia Eagles54%
Philadelphia Eagles54%6
Seattle Seahawks46%
Seattle Seahawks46%4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers47%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers47%5
Detroit Lions53%
Detroit Lions53%Seeds reflect projected finish; division winners are seeded 1–4 ahead of wild cards regardless of record. Percentages are the model's win probability for each wild-card matchup (higher seed hosts).